Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers and positioning him for a third term. Idaho's consistent Republican majorities in statewide races, combined with the state's voter registration and turnout patterns, underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP nominee. Recent polling shows Little ahead by double digits against Democrat Terri Pickens, who won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a state without competitive Democratic wins for governor in decades. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including historical results and current forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on available evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
2%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,679 Vol.
95%
民主党
$3,571 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers and positioning him for a third term. Idaho's consistent Republican majorities in statewide races, combined with the state's voter registration and turnout patterns, underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP nominee. Recent polling shows Little ahead by double digits against Democrat Terri Pickens, who won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a state without competitive Democratic wins for governor in decades. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including historical results and current forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$8,250終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers and positioning him for a third term. Idaho's consistent Republican majorities in statewide races, combined with the state's voter registration and turnout patterns, underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP nominee. Recent polling shows Little ahead by double digits against Democrat Terri Pickens, who won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a state without competitive Democratic wins for governor in decades. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including historical results and current forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$8,250終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers and positioning him for a third term. Idaho's consistent Republican majorities in statewide races, combined with the state's voter registration and turnout patterns, underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP nominee. Recent polling shows Little ahead by double digits against Democrat Terri Pickens, who won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a state without competitive Democratic wins for governor in decades. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including historical results and current forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on available evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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