Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican Harriet Hageman as the strong favorite after today's primary against a limited Democratic field led by James Byrd, creating a low-competition general election environment on November 3. This dynamic typically suppresses turnout mobilization compared with contested races, aligning with the state's historical patterns of 50-60% participation among registered voters in Senate contests. With no general election polls available and national midterm conditions still forming, traders see balanced probabilities across turnout bands because early indicators offer little separation. Factors that could widen gaps include primary vote totals signaling base enthusiasm, candidate-driven ground efforts, or shifts in the broader political climate affecting voter engagement in this solidly Republican state.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日17万～19万 44%
250,000票以上 44%
23万～25万 43%
15万未満 43%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
15万未満
43%
15万〜17万
42%
17万～19万
44%
19万〜21万
43%
210,000～230,000
42%
23万～25万
43%
250,000票以上
44%
17万～19万 44%
250,000票以上 44%
23万～25万 43%
15万未満 43%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
15万未満
$0 Vol.
43%
15万〜17万
$0 Vol.
42%
17万～19万
$0 Vol.
44%
19万〜21万
$0 Vol.
43%
210,000～230,000
$0 Vol.
42%
23万～25万
$0 Vol.
43%
250,000票以上
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican Harriet Hageman as the strong favorite after today's primary against a limited Democratic field led by James Byrd, creating a low-competition general election environment on November 3. This dynamic typically suppresses turnout mobilization compared with contested races, aligning with the state's historical patterns of 50-60% participation among registered voters in Senate contests. With no general election polls available and national midterm conditions still forming, traders see balanced probabilities across turnout bands because early indicators offer little separation. Factors that could widen gaps include primary vote totals signaling base enthusiasm, candidate-driven ground efforts, or shifts in the broader political climate affecting voter engagement in this solidly Republican state.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican Harriet Hageman as the strong favorite after today's primary against a limited Democratic field led by James Byrd, creating a low-competition general election environment on November 3. This dynamic typically suppresses turnout mobilization compared with contested races, aligning with the state's historical patterns of 50-60% participation among registered voters in Senate contests. With no general election polls available and national midterm conditions still forming, traders see balanced probabilities across turnout bands because early indicators offer little separation. Factors that could widen gaps include primary vote totals signaling base enthusiasm, candidate-driven ground efforts, or shifts in the broader political climate affecting voter engagement in this solidly Republican state.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican Harriet Hageman as the strong favorite after today's primary against a limited Democratic field led by James Byrd, creating a low-competition general election environment on November 3. This dynamic typically suppresses turnout mobilization compared with contested races, aligning with the state's historical patterns of 50-60% participation among registered voters in Senate contests. With no general election polls available and national midterm conditions still forming, traders see balanced probabilities across turnout bands because early indicators offer little separation. Factors that could widen gaps include primary vote totals signaling base enthusiasm, candidate-driven ground efforts, or shifts in the broader political climate affecting voter engagement in this solidly Republican state.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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