The closely contested open-seat race between Democratic nominee David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, following high Democratic primary participation exceeding 790,000 votes, drives trader consensus toward mid-range turnout totals in the 2.4M–3.2M band. Both campaigns have launched substantial advertising and mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 contest, with key issues including property taxes, healthcare costs, and federal policy dynamics sustaining voter engagement in this swing state. Historical patterns from recent high-turnout cycles, combined with early voting and absentee ballot trends, support probabilities clustering around these levels rather than extremes, though factors such as weather, final registration drives, and enthusiasm among independents could shift outcomes before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日220万〜240万 37%
300万〜320万 35%
320万以上 32%
280万〜300万 31%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
220万未満
27%
220万〜240万
37%
240万～260万
31%
260万～280万
24%
280万〜300万
31%
300万〜320万
35%
320万以上
32%
220万〜240万 37%
300万〜320万 35%
320万以上 32%
280万〜300万 31%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
220万未満
$0 Vol.
27%
220万〜240万
$0 Vol.
37%
240万～260万
$0 Vol.
31%
260万～280万
$0 Vol.
24%
280万〜300万
$0 Vol.
31%
300万〜320万
$0 Vol.
35%
320万以上
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested open-seat race between Democratic nominee David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, following high Democratic primary participation exceeding 790,000 votes, drives trader consensus toward mid-range turnout totals in the 2.4M–3.2M band. Both campaigns have launched substantial advertising and mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 contest, with key issues including property taxes, healthcare costs, and federal policy dynamics sustaining voter engagement in this swing state. Historical patterns from recent high-turnout cycles, combined with early voting and absentee ballot trends, support probabilities clustering around these levels rather than extremes, though factors such as weather, final registration drives, and enthusiasm among independents could shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested open-seat race between Democratic nominee David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, following high Democratic primary participation exceeding 790,000 votes, drives trader consensus toward mid-range turnout totals in the 2.4M–3.2M band. Both campaigns have launched substantial advertising and mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 contest, with key issues including property taxes, healthcare costs, and federal policy dynamics sustaining voter engagement in this swing state. Historical patterns from recent high-turnout cycles, combined with early voting and absentee ballot trends, support probabilities clustering around these levels rather than extremes, though factors such as weather, final registration drives, and enthusiasm among independents could shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested open-seat race between Democratic nominee David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, following high Democratic primary participation exceeding 790,000 votes, drives trader consensus toward mid-range turnout totals in the 2.4M–3.2M band. Both campaigns have launched substantial advertising and mobilization efforts ahead of the November 3 contest, with key issues including property taxes, healthcare costs, and federal policy dynamics sustaining voter engagement in this swing state. Historical patterns from recent high-turnout cycles, combined with early voting and absentee ballot trends, support probabilities clustering around these levels rather than extremes, though factors such as weather, final registration drives, and enthusiasm among independents could shift outcomes before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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