The tightly bunched probabilities across turnout bins reflect uncertainty in a competitive open-seat Senate contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Recent polling averages show Cooper leading by roughly nine points, while both campaigns have set fundraising records and ramped up voter mobilization ahead of the November 3 general election. Midterm turnout patterns, early voting volume, and enthusiasm among key blocs in this battleground state remain fluid, with no dominant signal yet on whether participation will align closer to 2022 levels or rise due to the race’s national profile and ground-game intensity. Scheduled debates and ongoing recovery efforts from prior weather events could further shift engagement before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日350万未満 45%
350万~370万 45%
450万〜470万 45%
370万~390万 44%
350万未満
45%
350万~370万
45%
370万~390万
44%
390万〜410万
44%
410万-430万
43%
430万~450万
43%
450万〜470万
45%
470万以上
44%
350万未満 45%
350万~370万 45%
450万〜470万 45%
370万~390万 44%
350万未満
45%
350万~370万
45%
370万~390万
44%
390万〜410万
44%
410万-430万
43%
430万~450万
43%
450万〜470万
45%
470万以上
44%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched probabilities across turnout bins reflect uncertainty in a competitive open-seat Senate contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Recent polling averages show Cooper leading by roughly nine points, while both campaigns have set fundraising records and ramped up voter mobilization ahead of the November 3 general election. Midterm turnout patterns, early voting volume, and enthusiasm among key blocs in this battleground state remain fluid, with no dominant signal yet on whether participation will align closer to 2022 levels or rise due to the race’s national profile and ground-game intensity. Scheduled debates and ongoing recovery efforts from prior weather events could further shift engagement before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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