Voter turnout in Delaware’s Senate election shows high uncertainty, with probabilities clustered tightly around multiple vote total brackets. In this solidly Democratic state, baseline participation typically hinges on historical patterns from prior midterm cycles, steady voter registration growth, and the degree of national political engagement driving mobilization by both parties. Limited early indicators, including the absence of highly competitive dynamics or major campaign events, leave forecasts sensitive to factors such as early voting volume, absentee ballot trends, and election-day conditions. The even distribution of trader positions across ranges underscores that no single development has yet emerged to narrow expectations, though upcoming candidate announcements or shifts in broader electoral enthusiasm could introduce separation before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日35万~37.5万 42%
325千~350千 41%
47万5,000票以上 41%
425K-450K 40%
27万5千未満
38%
27万5千~30万
38%
30万〜32万5千
38%
325千~350千
41%
35万~37.5万
42%
375K-400K
40%
400K~425K
38%
425K-450K
40%
45万~47万5千
38%
47万5,000票以上
41%
35万~37.5万 42%
325千~350千 41%
47万5,000票以上 41%
425K-450K 40%
27万5千未満
38%
27万5千~30万
38%
30万〜32万5千
38%
325千~350千
41%
35万~37.5万
42%
375K-400K
40%
400K~425K
38%
425K-450K
40%
45万~47万5千
38%
47万5,000票以上
41%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Voter turnout in Delaware’s Senate election shows high uncertainty, with probabilities clustered tightly around multiple vote total brackets. In this solidly Democratic state, baseline participation typically hinges on historical patterns from prior midterm cycles, steady voter registration growth, and the degree of national political engagement driving mobilization by both parties. Limited early indicators, including the absence of highly competitive dynamics or major campaign events, leave forecasts sensitive to factors such as early voting volume, absentee ballot trends, and election-day conditions. The even distribution of trader positions across ranges underscores that no single development has yet emerged to narrow expectations, though upcoming candidate announcements or shifts in broader electoral enthusiasm could introduce separation before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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