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icon for フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者

フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者

icon for フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者

フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者

Polymarket
新規
Polymarket
新規
icon for アンジー・ニクソン(民主党)

アンジー・ニクソン(民主党)

$1,976 Vol.

97%

icon for アシュリー・ムーディ(共和党)

アシュリー・ムーディ(共和党)

$1,078 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Broward County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Broward County.Broward County’s strong Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in statewide races underpin Angie Nixon’s commanding 96.5% implied probability. As a Democratic state representative from the area who won her primary there by double digits, Nixon benefits from the county’s urban, diverse electorate that has favored Democrats in recent Senate contests. Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed in 2025 and favored statewide, faces structural headwinds in this South Florida stronghold despite her primary dominance and fundraising edge. Traders price in limited volatility ahead of the November 3 general election, though unusually high Republican turnout or late developments in the broader race could narrow the county margin without overturning the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Broward County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Broward County.
音量
$3,054
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Broward County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Broward County.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Broward County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Broward County.Broward County’s strong Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in statewide races underpin Angie Nixon’s commanding 96.5% implied probability. As a Democratic state representative from the area who won her primary there by double digits, Nixon benefits from the county’s urban, diverse electorate that has favored Democrats in recent Senate contests. Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed in 2025 and favored statewide, faces structural headwinds in this South Florida stronghold despite her primary dominance and fundraising edge. Traders price in limited volatility ahead of the November 3 general election, though unusually high Republican turnout or late developments in the broader race could narrow the county margin without overturning the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Broward County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Broward County.
音量
$3,054
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Broward County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Broward County.

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よくある質問

「フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アンジー・ニクソン(民主党)」で97%、次いで「アシュリー・ムーディ(共和党)」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 1, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アンジー・ニクソン(民主党)」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アシュリー・ムーディ(共和党)」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「フロリダ州上院議員選挙:ブロワード郡の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。