United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Orenburg Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party with strong regional institutional support, including from Governor Yevgeny Solntsev, and alignment with federal authorities. The mixed electoral system, featuring party-list and single-mandate districts, favors established parties with broad candidate slates and organizational reach, as evidenced by recent polls showing the party well ahead among decided voters ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Other parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, and smaller groups trail significantly in both historical results and current surveys. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition consolidation, or unforeseen administrative disruptions in the final days of the campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 95.8%
New People 2.7%
LDPR 1.9%
CPRF 1.8%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
United Russia
96%
New People
3%
LDPR
2%
CPRF
2%
A Just Russia
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
United Russia 95.8%
New People 2.7%
LDPR 1.9%
CPRF 1.8%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
United Russia
$708 Vol.
96%
New People
$612 Vol.
3%
LDPR
$276 Vol.
2%
CPRF
$301 Vol.
2%
A Just Russia
$363 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$286 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$296 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Orenburg Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Orenburg Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Orenburg Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party with strong regional institutional support, including from Governor Yevgeny Solntsev, and alignment with federal authorities. The mixed electoral system, featuring party-list and single-mandate districts, favors established parties with broad candidate slates and organizational reach, as evidenced by recent polls showing the party well ahead among decided voters ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Other parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, and smaller groups trail significantly in both historical results and current surveys. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition consolidation, or unforeseen administrative disruptions in the final days of the campaign.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Orenburg Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Orenburg Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Orenburg Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Orenburg Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
音量
$2,841終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Orenburg Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Orenburg Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Orenburg Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party with strong regional institutional support, including from Governor Yevgeny Solntsev, and alignment with federal authorities. The mixed electoral system, featuring party-list and single-mandate districts, favors established parties with broad candidate slates and organizational reach, as evidenced by recent polls showing the party well ahead among decided voters ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Other parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, and smaller groups trail significantly in both historical results and current surveys. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition consolidation, or unforeseen administrative disruptions in the final days of the campaign.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Orenburg Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Orenburg Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Orenburg Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Orenburg Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Orenburg Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$2,841終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Orenburg Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party with strong regional institutional support, including from Governor Yevgeny Solntsev, and alignment with federal authorities. The mixed electoral system, featuring party-list and single-mandate districts, favors established parties with broad candidate slates and organizational reach, as evidenced by recent polls showing the party well ahead among decided voters ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Other parties such as CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, and smaller groups trail significantly in both historical results and current surveys. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include unusually low turnout, coordinated opposition consolidation, or unforeseen administrative disruptions in the final days of the campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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