In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アカシオ・ファヴァショ 44%
アリニー・セラオン 44%
カピ 44%
エリオ・シルバ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
アカシオ・ファヴァショ
44%
アリニー・セラオン
44%
カピ
44%
エリオ・シルバ
44%
ジュイザ・ジョー
44%
ルーカス・バレート
44%
レイサ・フルラン
44%
ウジアン・ピント教授
44%
ランドルフェ
44%
アカシオ・ファヴァショ 44%
アリニー・セラオン 44%
カピ 44%
エリオ・シルバ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
アカシオ・ファヴァショ
$0 Vol.
44%
アリニー・セラオン
$0 Vol.
44%
カピ
$0 Vol.
44%
エリオ・シルバ
$0 Vol.
44%
ジュイザ・ジョー
$0 Vol.
44%
ルーカス・バレート
$0 Vol.
44%
レイサ・フルラン
$0 Vol.
44%
ウジアン・ピント教授
$0 Vol.
44%
ランドルフェ
$0 Vol.
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for first place, a fragmented field of roughly nine registered candidates keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) compete with federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), and several lower-profile entrants. Official campaigning began only on August 16, leaving limited time for differentiation. A late-July survey showed Rayssa Furlan ahead but with substantial undecided voters and margins within sampling error. Upcoming debates, party alliances, and regional turnout patterns in this two-seat contest remain the main variables that could separate the leaders before October voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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