The strong Republican tilt of Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District, anchored in eastern Alabama counties with a partisan voting index exceeding R+20, underpins the 92 percent trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Mike Rogers, seeking his twelfth term after chairing the House Armed Services Committee, faces only token primary opposition from Terri LaPoint on May 19 and carries endorsements that reinforce his position, while Democrat Lee McInnis stands as the sole general-election challenger following a canceled Democratic primary. Historical margins exceeding 30 points and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure sustain the implied probability, yet an upset in the Republican primary or an unforeseen national shift that boosts turnout among remaining Democratic-leaning voters could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,867 Vol.
$15,867 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$15,867 Vol.
$15,867 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,731 Vol.
92%
民主党
$7,136 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District, anchored in eastern Alabama counties with a partisan voting index exceeding R+20, underpins the 92 percent trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Mike Rogers, seeking his twelfth term after chairing the House Armed Services Committee, faces only token primary opposition from Terri LaPoint on May 19 and carries endorsements that reinforce his position, while Democrat Lee McInnis stands as the sole general-election challenger following a canceled Democratic primary. Historical margins exceeding 30 points and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure sustain the implied probability, yet an upset in the Republican primary or an unforeseen national shift that boosts turnout among remaining Democratic-leaning voters could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$15,867終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District, anchored in eastern Alabama counties with a partisan voting index exceeding R+20, underpins the 92 percent trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Mike Rogers, seeking his twelfth term after chairing the House Armed Services Committee, faces only token primary opposition from Terri LaPoint on May 19 and carries endorsements that reinforce his position, while Democrat Lee McInnis stands as the sole general-election challenger following a canceled Democratic primary. Historical margins exceeding 30 points and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure sustain the implied probability, yet an upset in the Republican primary or an unforeseen national shift that boosts turnout among remaining Democratic-leaning voters could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,867終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District, anchored in eastern Alabama counties with a partisan voting index exceeding R+20, underpins the 92 percent trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Mike Rogers, seeking his twelfth term after chairing the House Armed Services Committee, faces only token primary opposition from Terri LaPoint on May 19 and carries endorsements that reinforce his position, while Democrat Lee McInnis stands as the sole general-election challenger following a canceled Democratic primary. Historical margins exceeding 30 points and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure sustain the implied probability, yet an upset in the Republican primary or an unforeseen national shift that boosts turnout among remaining Democratic-leaning voters could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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