Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district covering southeast Queens. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has seen no competitive primary challenges, with both party primaries canceled or uncontested. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent electoral history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would signal a viable path for the challenger. Factors that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, significant health events, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$53,084 Vol.
$53,084 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$53,084 Vol.
$53,084 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$20,963 Vol.
97%
共和党
$32,120 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district covering southeast Queens. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has seen no competitive primary challenges, with both party primaries canceled or uncontested. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent electoral history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would signal a viable path for the challenger. Factors that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, significant health events, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$53,084終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district covering southeast Queens. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has seen no competitive primary challenges, with both party primaries canceled or uncontested. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent electoral history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would signal a viable path for the challenger. Factors that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, significant health events, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$53,084終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district covering southeast Queens. The seat carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has seen no competitive primary challenges, with both party primaries canceled or uncontested. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent electoral history, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would signal a viable path for the challenger. Factors that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, significant health events, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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