New York’s 6th Congressional District maintains a D+6 partisan voter index that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 election. Longtime incumbent Grace Meng, serving since 2013, won reelection in 2024 by 60.5 percent despite a rightward shift among Asian American voters in the Queens district anchored by neighborhoods such as Flushing and Jackson Heights. The June 23 Democratic primary against progressive challenger Chuck Park forms the main near-term variable, though Meng leads in fundraising, endorsements, and internal party backing while the Republican nominee Joseph Chou runs unopposed. A primary upset that weakens the Democratic standard-bearer, an unforeseen scandal, or a strong national Republican midterm wave could realistically narrow the margin or alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,931 Vol.
92%
共和党
$3,131 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 6th Congressional District maintains a D+6 partisan voter index that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 election. Longtime incumbent Grace Meng, serving since 2013, won reelection in 2024 by 60.5 percent despite a rightward shift among Asian American voters in the Queens district anchored by neighborhoods such as Flushing and Jackson Heights. The June 23 Democratic primary against progressive challenger Chuck Park forms the main near-term variable, though Meng leads in fundraising, endorsements, and internal party backing while the Republican nominee Joseph Chou runs unopposed. A primary upset that weakens the Democratic standard-bearer, an unforeseen scandal, or a strong national Republican midterm wave could realistically narrow the margin or alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$6,061終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 6th Congressional District maintains a D+6 partisan voter index that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 election. Longtime incumbent Grace Meng, serving since 2013, won reelection in 2024 by 60.5 percent despite a rightward shift among Asian American voters in the Queens district anchored by neighborhoods such as Flushing and Jackson Heights. The June 23 Democratic primary against progressive challenger Chuck Park forms the main near-term variable, though Meng leads in fundraising, endorsements, and internal party backing while the Republican nominee Joseph Chou runs unopposed. A primary upset that weakens the Democratic standard-bearer, an unforeseen scandal, or a strong national Republican midterm wave could realistically narrow the margin or alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,061終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 6th Congressional District maintains a D+6 partisan voter index that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 election. Longtime incumbent Grace Meng, serving since 2013, won reelection in 2024 by 60.5 percent despite a rightward shift among Asian American voters in the Queens district anchored by neighborhoods such as Flushing and Jackson Heights. The June 23 Democratic primary against progressive challenger Chuck Park forms the main near-term variable, though Meng leads in fundraising, endorsements, and internal party backing while the Republican nominee Joseph Chou runs unopposed. A primary upset that weakens the Democratic standard-bearer, an unforeseen scandal, or a strong national Republican midterm wave could realistically narrow the margin or alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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