Grace Meng, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 6th Congressional District in Queens, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 general election race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and consistent reelection margins. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its urban, diverse electorate and historical voting patterns favoring the party. Meng secured her primary nomination in June 2026, while Republican Joseph Chou advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, pricing Democratic victory near 93–96 percent. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,917 Vol.
$15,917 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$15,917 Vol.
$15,917 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$6,916 Vol.
94%
共和党
$9,001 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Grace Meng, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 6th Congressional District in Queens, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 general election race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and consistent reelection margins. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its urban, diverse electorate and historical voting patterns favoring the party. Meng secured her primary nomination in June 2026, while Republican Joseph Chou advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, pricing Democratic victory near 93–96 percent. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$15,917終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Grace Meng, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 6th Congressional District in Queens, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 general election race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and consistent reelection margins. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its urban, diverse electorate and historical voting patterns favoring the party. Meng secured her primary nomination in June 2026, while Republican Joseph Chou advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, pricing Democratic victory near 93–96 percent. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,917終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Grace Meng, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 6th Congressional District in Queens, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 general election race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and consistent reelection margins. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its urban, diverse electorate and historical voting patterns favoring the party. Meng secured her primary nomination in June 2026, while Republican Joseph Chou advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, pricing Democratic victory near 93–96 percent. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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