New York's 7th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and a 33-year absence of any Republican winner. Incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement has triggered a competitive June 23 Democratic primary among candidates including Antonio Reynoso, but the general election on November 3 functions as a formality given the lack of a credible Republican challenger or significant fundraising on the GOP side. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee stems from these structural factors and consistent past results in presidential and congressional cycles. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican wave, an unexpected high-profile GOP candidate, or a major scandal derailing the eventual Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,940 Vol.
$18,940 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$18,940 Vol.
$18,940 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,097 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,843 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 7th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and a 33-year absence of any Republican winner. Incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement has triggered a competitive June 23 Democratic primary among candidates including Antonio Reynoso, but the general election on November 3 functions as a formality given the lack of a credible Republican challenger or significant fundraising on the GOP side. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee stems from these structural factors and consistent past results in presidential and congressional cycles. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican wave, an unexpected high-profile GOP candidate, or a major scandal derailing the eventual Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$18,940終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 7th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and a 33-year absence of any Republican winner. Incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement has triggered a competitive June 23 Democratic primary among candidates including Antonio Reynoso, but the general election on November 3 functions as a formality given the lack of a credible Republican challenger or significant fundraising on the GOP side. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee stems from these structural factors and consistent past results in presidential and congressional cycles. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican wave, an unexpected high-profile GOP candidate, or a major scandal derailing the eventual Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,940終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 7th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and a 33-year absence of any Republican winner. Incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement has triggered a competitive June 23 Democratic primary among candidates including Antonio Reynoso, but the general election on November 3 functions as a formality given the lack of a credible Republican challenger or significant fundraising on the GOP side. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee stems from these structural factors and consistent past results in presidential and congressional cycles. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican wave, an unexpected high-profile GOP candidate, or a major scandal derailing the eventual Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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