New York’s 7th congressional district carries one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Assembly member Claire Valdez, who prevailed by a substantial margin in an open seat previously held by long-serving Democrat Nydia Velázquez. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, and prediction markets show the Republican nominee with negligible support. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge that overcomes the district’s structural advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,856 Vol.
$29,856 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$29,856 Vol.
$29,856 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$15,452 Vol.
96%
共和党
$14,404 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district carries one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Assembly member Claire Valdez, who prevailed by a substantial margin in an open seat previously held by long-serving Democrat Nydia Velázquez. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, and prediction markets show the Republican nominee with negligible support. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge that overcomes the district’s structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$29,856終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district carries one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Assembly member Claire Valdez, who prevailed by a substantial margin in an open seat previously held by long-serving Democrat Nydia Velázquez. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, and prediction markets show the Republican nominee with negligible support. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge that overcomes the district’s structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,856終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 7th congressional district carries one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Assembly member Claire Valdez, who prevailed by a substantial margin in an open seat previously held by long-serving Democrat Nydia Velázquez. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, and prediction markets show the Republican nominee with negligible support. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge that overcomes the district’s structural advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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