Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries anchors Democratic control of New York’s 8th congressional district, where a D+24 partisan voting index and his 75 percent margin in 2024 underpin the 92 percent implied probability of a Democratic win. As House minority leader with substantial campaign resources, Jeffries faces only nominal Republican primary opposition ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary and November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and the district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, yet current polling trends, fundraising dominance, and absence of credible challengers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,494 Vol.
92%
共和党
$9,719 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries anchors Democratic control of New York’s 8th congressional district, where a D+24 partisan voting index and his 75 percent margin in 2024 underpin the 92 percent implied probability of a Democratic win. As House minority leader with substantial campaign resources, Jeffries faces only nominal Republican primary opposition ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary and November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and the district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, yet current polling trends, fundraising dominance, and absence of credible challengers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$21,214終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries anchors Democratic control of New York’s 8th congressional district, where a D+24 partisan voting index and his 75 percent margin in 2024 underpin the 92 percent implied probability of a Democratic win. As House minority leader with substantial campaign resources, Jeffries faces only nominal Republican primary opposition ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary and November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and the district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, yet current polling trends, fundraising dominance, and absence of credible challengers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,214終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries anchors Democratic control of New York’s 8th congressional district, where a D+24 partisan voting index and his 75 percent margin in 2024 underpin the 92 percent implied probability of a Democratic win. As House minority leader with substantial campaign resources, Jeffries faces only nominal Republican primary opposition ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary and November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and the district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, yet current polling trends, fundraising dominance, and absence of credible challengers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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