The Texas 8th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean stems from its voting history and partisan makeup, with Donald Trump carrying the area by double digits in the prior cycle and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13. Incumbent Morgan Luttrell’s retirement created an open seat, yet the March 2026 Republican primary produced a clear nominee in Jessica Steinmann, who secured nearly 70 percent of the vote with endorsements from key state and national figures. Democratic nominee Laura Jones advanced from a less contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered Republican margins above 60 percent in recent House races. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, aligning with current trader pricing that places the Republican outcome well above 85 percent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$0 Vol.
90%
民主党
$2,291 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 8th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean stems from its voting history and partisan makeup, with Donald Trump carrying the area by double digits in the prior cycle and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13. Incumbent Morgan Luttrell’s retirement created an open seat, yet the March 2026 Republican primary produced a clear nominee in Jessica Steinmann, who secured nearly 70 percent of the vote with endorsements from key state and national figures. Democratic nominee Laura Jones advanced from a less contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered Republican margins above 60 percent in recent House races. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, aligning with current trader pricing that places the Republican outcome well above 85 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$2,291終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 8th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean stems from its voting history and partisan makeup, with Donald Trump carrying the area by double digits in the prior cycle and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13. Incumbent Morgan Luttrell’s retirement created an open seat, yet the March 2026 Republican primary produced a clear nominee in Jessica Steinmann, who secured nearly 70 percent of the vote with endorsements from key state and national figures. Democratic nominee Laura Jones advanced from a less contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered Republican margins above 60 percent in recent House races. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, aligning with current trader pricing that places the Republican outcome well above 85 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,291終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 8th Congressional District’s strong Republican lean stems from its voting history and partisan makeup, with Donald Trump carrying the area by double digits in the prior cycle and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13. Incumbent Morgan Luttrell’s retirement created an open seat, yet the March 2026 Republican primary produced a clear nominee in Jessica Steinmann, who secured nearly 70 percent of the vote with endorsements from key state and national figures. Democratic nominee Laura Jones advanced from a less contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered Republican margins above 60 percent in recent House races. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, aligning with current trader pricing that places the Republican outcome well above 85 percent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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