Lula maintains a polling edge in Amapá for the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent surveys showing him ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro by narrow margins around 36% to 33%. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent, though the contest stays tight amid sizable undecided shares, potential late shifts by the 26% of voters open to change, and competition from lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos. Local campaign activity for state races and national dynamics between PT and PL continue to shape sentiment, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing. No major new catalysts have emerged in recent weeks to widen the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルラ 56%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 45%
ヘルツ・ディアス <1%
パブロ・マルサウ <1%
$19,553 Vol.
$19,553 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルラ
56%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
45%
ヘルツ・ディアス
1%
パブロ・マルサウ
<1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
<1%
エジミウソン・コスタ
<1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ
<1%
レナン・サントス
<1%
ロナウド・カイアド
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
<1%
サマラ
<1%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
<1%
ゼマ
<1%
ルラ 56%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 45%
ヘルツ・ディアス <1%
パブロ・マルサウ <1%
$19,553 Vol.
$19,553 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルラ
$4,304 Vol.
56%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$4,112 Vol.
45%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$1,272 Vol.
1%
パブロ・マルサウ
$1,477 Vol.
<1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$750 Vol.
<1%
エジミウソン・コスタ
$821 Vol.
<1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
レナン・サントス
$872 Vol.
<1%
ロナウド・カイアド
$1,071 Vol.
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$1,020 Vol.
<1%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
$735 Vol.
<1%
ゼマ
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a polling edge in Amapá for the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent surveys showing him ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro by narrow margins around 36% to 33%. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent, though the contest stays tight amid sizable undecided shares, potential late shifts by the 26% of voters open to change, and competition from lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos. Local campaign activity for state races and national dynamics between PT and PL continue to shape sentiment, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing. No major new catalysts have emerged in recent weeks to widen the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
音量
$19,553終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a polling edge in Amapá for the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent surveys showing him ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro by narrow margins around 36% to 33%. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent, though the contest stays tight amid sizable undecided shares, potential late shifts by the 26% of voters open to change, and competition from lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos. Local campaign activity for state races and national dynamics between PT and PL continue to shape sentiment, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing. No major new catalysts have emerged in recent weeks to widen the gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$19,553終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a polling edge in Amapá for the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent surveys showing him ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro by narrow margins around 36% to 33%. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent, though the contest stays tight amid sizable undecided shares, potential late shifts by the 26% of voters open to change, and competition from lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos. Local campaign activity for state races and national dynamics between PT and PL continue to shape sentiment, with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing. No major new catalysts have emerged in recent weeks to widen the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問