Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's reelection campaign in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for the Democratic Party amid no Republican candidates qualifying, canceling their primary under new closed primary rules. Recent legislative advances on May 13 advanced a redistricting plan preserving the New Orleans-based majority-Black district following the Supreme Court's gerrymander ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, which suspended May 16 primaries. Carter faces Democratic primary challenger Renada Collins, but the general election on November 3 favors Democrats structurally, with low GOP entry barriers post-filing deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,889 Vol.
$40,889 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
87%
共和党
10%
$40,889 Vol.
$40,889 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$21,355 Vol.
87%
共和党
$19,684 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's reelection campaign in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for the Democratic Party amid no Republican candidates qualifying, canceling their primary under new closed primary rules. Recent legislative advances on May 13 advanced a redistricting plan preserving the New Orleans-based majority-Black district following the Supreme Court's gerrymander ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, which suspended May 16 primaries. Carter faces Democratic primary challenger Renada Collins, but the general election on November 3 favors Democrats structurally, with low GOP entry barriers post-filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$40,889終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's reelection campaign in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for the Democratic Party amid no Republican candidates qualifying, canceling their primary under new closed primary rules. Recent legislative advances on May 13 advanced a redistricting plan preserving the New Orleans-based majority-Black district following the Supreme Court's gerrymander ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, which suspended May 16 primaries. Carter faces Democratic primary challenger Renada Collins, but the general election on November 3 favors Democrats structurally, with low GOP entry barriers post-filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,889終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's reelection campaign in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 84.5% for the Democratic Party amid no Republican candidates qualifying, canceling their primary under new closed primary rules. Recent legislative advances on May 13 advanced a redistricting plan preserving the New Orleans-based majority-Black district following the Supreme Court's gerrymander ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, which suspended May 16 primaries. Carter faces Democratic primary challenger Renada Collins, but the general election on November 3 favors Democrats structurally, with low GOP entry barriers post-filing deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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