Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Miami-area seat, which includes suburbs such as Tamiami and Homestead along with the Keys, shows a consistent Republican tilt reinforced by the state's mid-decade redistricting. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Giménez's prior victories and the district's 6.5-point Trump margin in 2024. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing the incumbent and Democratic nominee Phil Ehr to advance directly, while limited recent polling has shown no major shifts. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong independent performance could still affect the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,344 Vol.
$57,344 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$57,344 Vol.
$57,344 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$33,614 Vol.
95%
民主党
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Miami-area seat, which includes suburbs such as Tamiami and Homestead along with the Keys, shows a consistent Republican tilt reinforced by the state's mid-decade redistricting. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Giménez's prior victories and the district's 6.5-point Trump margin in 2024. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing the incumbent and Democratic nominee Phil Ehr to advance directly, while limited recent polling has shown no major shifts. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong independent performance could still affect the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$57,344終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Miami-area seat, which includes suburbs such as Tamiami and Homestead along with the Keys, shows a consistent Republican tilt reinforced by the state's mid-decade redistricting. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Giménez's prior victories and the district's 6.5-point Trump margin in 2024. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing the incumbent and Democratic nominee Phil Ehr to advance directly, while limited recent polling has shown no major shifts. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong independent performance could still affect the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,344終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Miami-area seat, which includes suburbs such as Tamiami and Homestead along with the Keys, shows a consistent Republican tilt reinforced by the state's mid-decade redistricting. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Giménez's prior victories and the district's 6.5-point Trump margin in 2024. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing the incumbent and Democratic nominee Phil Ehr to advance directly, while limited recent polling has shown no major shifts. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong independent performance could still affect the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問