Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 12th congressional district, while Democrats settled on a nominee following a contested primary. The seat's established Republican lean, reinforced by Ohio's 2025 congressional map, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at over 90 percent. Balderson's long tenure since 2018 and consistent reelection margins in a district centered on suburban and rural areas around central Ohio further solidify this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from an unusually strong national Democratic performance, late developments affecting candidate viability, or unexpectedly high turnout among opposing voters, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,932 Vol.
$33,932 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$33,932 Vol.
$33,932 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$24,097 Vol.
94%
民主党
$9,834 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 12th congressional district, while Democrats settled on a nominee following a contested primary. The seat's established Republican lean, reinforced by Ohio's 2025 congressional map, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at over 90 percent. Balderson's long tenure since 2018 and consistent reelection margins in a district centered on suburban and rural areas around central Ohio further solidify this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from an unusually strong national Democratic performance, late developments affecting candidate viability, or unexpectedly high turnout among opposing voters, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$33,932終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 12th congressional district, while Democrats settled on a nominee following a contested primary. The seat's established Republican lean, reinforced by Ohio's 2025 congressional map, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at over 90 percent. Balderson's long tenure since 2018 and consistent reelection margins in a district centered on suburban and rural areas around central Ohio further solidify this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from an unusually strong national Democratic performance, late developments affecting candidate viability, or unexpectedly high turnout among opposing voters, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,932終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 12th congressional district, while Democrats settled on a nominee following a contested primary. The seat's established Republican lean, reinforced by Ohio's 2025 congressional map, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at over 90 percent. Balderson's long tenure since 2018 and consistent reelection margins in a district centered on suburban and rural areas around central Ohio further solidify this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from an unusually strong national Democratic performance, late developments affecting candidate viability, or unexpectedly high turnout among opposing voters, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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