Steve Scalise's position as the Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and held by GOP candidates with consistent margins in recent cycles. The district's voter base, combined with Scalise's fundraising edge and name recognition ahead of the November 2026 general election, limits the impact of declared Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and intra-party rival Randall Arrington. Primary dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or national political environment represent the main variables that could alter outcomes, though structural advantages continue to shape current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,108 Vol.
$49,108 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$49,108 Vol.
$49,108 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,178 Vol.
94%
民主党
$27,930 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Scalise's position as the Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and held by GOP candidates with consistent margins in recent cycles. The district's voter base, combined with Scalise's fundraising edge and name recognition ahead of the November 2026 general election, limits the impact of declared Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and intra-party rival Randall Arrington. Primary dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or national political environment represent the main variables that could alter outcomes, though structural advantages continue to shape current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$49,108終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Scalise's position as the Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and held by GOP candidates with consistent margins in recent cycles. The district's voter base, combined with Scalise's fundraising edge and name recognition ahead of the November 2026 general election, limits the impact of declared Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and intra-party rival Randall Arrington. Primary dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or national political environment represent the main variables that could alter outcomes, though structural advantages continue to shape current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$49,108終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Scalise's position as the Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader anchors the strong trader consensus favoring his party in Louisiana's 1st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and held by GOP candidates with consistent margins in recent cycles. The district's voter base, combined with Scalise's fundraising edge and name recognition ahead of the November 2026 general election, limits the impact of declared Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and intra-party rival Randall Arrington. Primary dynamics and any late shifts in turnout or national political environment represent the main variables that could alter outcomes, though structural advantages continue to shape current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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