Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by suburban New Orleans voters and redrawn maps that further favor the party. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, holds commanding name recognition, institutional resources, and a Trump endorsement, while Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington face structural headwinds in a district Scalise carried with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited polling or fundraising data yet available to shift the outlook ahead of the April 2026 primary. A late personal health development, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,108 Vol.
$49,108 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$49,108 Vol.
$49,108 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,178 Vol.
94%
民主党
$27,930 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by suburban New Orleans voters and redrawn maps that further favor the party. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, holds commanding name recognition, institutional resources, and a Trump endorsement, while Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington face structural headwinds in a district Scalise carried with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited polling or fundraising data yet available to shift the outlook ahead of the April 2026 primary. A late personal health development, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$49,108終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by suburban New Orleans voters and redrawn maps that further favor the party. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, holds commanding name recognition, institutional resources, and a Trump endorsement, while Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington face structural headwinds in a district Scalise carried with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited polling or fundraising data yet available to shift the outlook ahead of the April 2026 primary. A late personal health development, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$49,108終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored by suburban New Orleans voters and redrawn maps that further favor the party. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader seeking re-election, holds commanding name recognition, institutional resources, and a Trump endorsement, while Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary opponent Randall Arrington face structural headwinds in a district Scalise carried with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited polling or fundraising data yet available to shift the outlook ahead of the April 2026 primary. A late personal health development, ethics controversy, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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