Incumbent Democrat Nellie Pou's unopposed June 2 primary and commanding fundraising lead—$1.5 million cash on hand as of late March—anchor trader consensus at 69% for a Democratic hold in NJ-09, a D+2 district she narrowly won 51%-49% in 2024 despite Trump's slim edge there. Republicans trail at 18%, hampered by a cash-strapped primary contest between Tiffany Burress and Rosemary Pino, each with under $35,000 on hand per April reports highlighting GOP disarray. Cook Political rates it Lean Democratic, with no public polls yet; the June primaries and November 3 general loom as pivotal, though incumbency advantages and resource gaps sustain the lopsided odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
66%
共和党
22%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$475 Vol.
66%
共和党
$279 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nellie Pou's unopposed June 2 primary and commanding fundraising lead—$1.5 million cash on hand as of late March—anchor trader consensus at 69% for a Democratic hold in NJ-09, a D+2 district she narrowly won 51%-49% in 2024 despite Trump's slim edge there. Republicans trail at 18%, hampered by a cash-strapped primary contest between Tiffany Burress and Rosemary Pino, each with under $35,000 on hand per April reports highlighting GOP disarray. Cook Political rates it Lean Democratic, with no public polls yet; the June primaries and November 3 general loom as pivotal, though incumbency advantages and resource gaps sustain the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
音量
$754終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nellie Pou's unopposed June 2 primary and commanding fundraising lead—$1.5 million cash on hand as of late March—anchor trader consensus at 69% for a Democratic hold in NJ-09, a D+2 district she narrowly won 51%-49% in 2024 despite Trump's slim edge there. Republicans trail at 18%, hampered by a cash-strapped primary contest between Tiffany Burress and Rosemary Pino, each with under $35,000 on hand per April reports highlighting GOP disarray. Cook Political rates it Lean Democratic, with no public polls yet; the June primaries and November 3 general loom as pivotal, though incumbency advantages and resource gaps sustain the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$754終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nellie Pou's unopposed June 2 primary and commanding fundraising lead—$1.5 million cash on hand as of late March—anchor trader consensus at 69% for a Democratic hold in NJ-09, a D+2 district she narrowly won 51%-49% in 2024 despite Trump's slim edge there. Republicans trail at 18%, hampered by a cash-strapped primary contest between Tiffany Burress and Rosemary Pino, each with under $35,000 on hand per April reports highlighting GOP disarray. Cook Political rates it Lean Democratic, with no public polls yet; the June primaries and November 3 general loom as pivotal, though incumbency advantages and resource gaps sustain the lopsided odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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