Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou secured her party's nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in New Jersey's 9th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt after shifts observed in the 2024 presidential contest, while Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial race reinforced the party's structural edge. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino faces an uphill path in a district with Democratic registration advantages and established voter patterns favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus at roughly 91% for Democrats reflects these baseline factors, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout, national headwinds for the majority party, or late developments affecting candidate visibility in this North Jersey battleground.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,101 Vol.
$22,101 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
$22,101 Vol.
$22,101 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,307 Vol.
91%
共和党
$10,794 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou secured her party's nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in New Jersey's 9th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt after shifts observed in the 2024 presidential contest, while Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial race reinforced the party's structural edge. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino faces an uphill path in a district with Democratic registration advantages and established voter patterns favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus at roughly 91% for Democrats reflects these baseline factors, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout, national headwinds for the majority party, or late developments affecting candidate visibility in this North Jersey battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
音量
$22,101終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou secured her party's nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in New Jersey's 9th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt after shifts observed in the 2024 presidential contest, while Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial race reinforced the party's structural edge. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino faces an uphill path in a district with Democratic registration advantages and established voter patterns favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus at roughly 91% for Democrats reflects these baseline factors, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout, national headwinds for the majority party, or late developments affecting candidate visibility in this North Jersey battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,101終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou secured her party's nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in New Jersey's 9th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt after shifts observed in the 2024 presidential contest, while Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial race reinforced the party's structural edge. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino faces an uphill path in a district with Democratic registration advantages and established voter patterns favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus at roughly 91% for Democrats reflects these baseline factors, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout, national headwinds for the majority party, or late developments affecting candidate visibility in this North Jersey battleground.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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