Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-70 percent Democratic margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest following Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement has produced a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 but no viable Republican challenger, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Historical turnout patterns in Prince George’s County and southern Maryland suburbs reinforce this positioning, while Republican candidates remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, including an unforeseen post-primary scandal or an unusually severe national Republican wave that depresses Democratic participation in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,916 Vol.
$15,916 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$15,916 Vol.
$15,916 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,508 Vol.
95%
共和党
$7,408 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-70 percent Democratic margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest following Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement has produced a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 but no viable Republican challenger, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Historical turnout patterns in Prince George’s County and southern Maryland suburbs reinforce this positioning, while Republican candidates remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, including an unforeseen post-primary scandal or an unusually severe national Republican wave that depresses Democratic participation in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,916終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-70 percent Democratic margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest following Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement has produced a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 but no viable Republican challenger, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Historical turnout patterns in Prince George’s County and southern Maryland suburbs reinforce this positioning, while Republican candidates remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, including an unforeseen post-primary scandal or an unusually severe national Republican wave that depresses Democratic participation in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,916終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-70 percent Democratic margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest following Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement has produced a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 but no viable Republican challenger, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Historical turnout patterns in Prince George’s County and southern Maryland suburbs reinforce this positioning, while Republican candidates remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, including an unforeseen post-primary scandal or an unusually severe national Republican wave that depresses Democratic participation in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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