Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a durable Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary set for June 23 while Republican candidates remain limited in visibility and fundraising. Strong Democratic voter registration edges and double-digit margins in prior general elections anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large turnout swing or a significant late development affecting the Democratic nominee—scenarios viewed as low-probability given the district’s structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日MD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$16,008 Vol.
$16,008 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$16,008 Vol.
$16,008 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$8,572 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$7,436 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a durable Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary set for June 23 while Republican candidates remain limited in visibility and fundraising. Strong Democratic voter registration edges and double-digit margins in prior general elections anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large turnout swing or a significant late development affecting the Democratic nominee—scenarios viewed as low-probability given the district’s structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$16,008終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a durable Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary set for June 23 while Republican candidates remain limited in visibility and fundraising. Strong Democratic voter registration edges and double-digit margins in prior general elections anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large turnout swing or a significant late development affecting the Democratic nominee—scenarios viewed as low-probability given the district’s structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,008終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a durable Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary set for June 23 while Republican candidates remain limited in visibility and fundraising. Strong Democratic voter registration edges and double-digit margins in prior general elections anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large turnout swing or a significant late development affecting the Democratic nominee—scenarios viewed as low-probability given the district’s structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問