Minnesota's 5th congressional district carries a D+32 partisan voter index, ranking among the nation's most Democratic seats and favoring the Democratic nominee in every recent cycle. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's commanding 80.7% victory in the August 11 Democratic primary underscored consolidated support within the party base ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Forecasters from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the contest safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 95.8% implied probability for a Democratic winner. This positioning stems from long-term voter registration patterns, turnout dynamics, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, candidate health issues, or an unprecedented national swing, though structural barriers make such shifts highly unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,403 Vol.
$48,403 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$48,403 Vol.
$48,403 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$18,221 Vol.
96%
共和党
$30,182 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district carries a D+32 partisan voter index, ranking among the nation's most Democratic seats and favoring the Democratic nominee in every recent cycle. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's commanding 80.7% victory in the August 11 Democratic primary underscored consolidated support within the party base ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Forecasters from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the contest safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 95.8% implied probability for a Democratic winner. This positioning stems from long-term voter registration patterns, turnout dynamics, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, candidate health issues, or an unprecedented national swing, though structural barriers make such shifts highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$48,403終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district carries a D+32 partisan voter index, ranking among the nation's most Democratic seats and favoring the Democratic nominee in every recent cycle. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's commanding 80.7% victory in the August 11 Democratic primary underscored consolidated support within the party base ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Forecasters from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the contest safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 95.8% implied probability for a Democratic winner. This positioning stems from long-term voter registration patterns, turnout dynamics, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, candidate health issues, or an unprecedented national swing, though structural barriers make such shifts highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,403終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district carries a D+32 partisan voter index, ranking among the nation's most Democratic seats and favoring the Democratic nominee in every recent cycle. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's commanding 80.7% victory in the August 11 Democratic primary underscored consolidated support within the party base ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Forecasters from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the contest safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the market's 95.8% implied probability for a Democratic winner. This positioning stems from long-term voter registration patterns, turnout dynamics, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, candidate health issues, or an unprecedented national swing, though structural barriers make such shifts highly unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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