Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.5% for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic dominance—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—with incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar securing the DFL endorsement on May 9 after strong convention support, solidifying her primary path ahead of the August 11 vote. Historical election margins exceed 50 points for Democrats in this urban Minneapolis bastion, bolstered by Omar's fundraising edge and endorsements like Sierra Club's in early April, while Republican challenger Dalia al-Aqidi's April party nod faces steep structural barriers in a D+30-plus area. Upsets would require a primary shock, major scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,461 Vol.
$36,461 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$36,461 Vol.
$36,461 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$15,719 Vol.
95%
共和党
$20,742 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.5% for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic dominance—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—with incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar securing the DFL endorsement on May 9 after strong convention support, solidifying her primary path ahead of the August 11 vote. Historical election margins exceed 50 points for Democrats in this urban Minneapolis bastion, bolstered by Omar's fundraising edge and endorsements like Sierra Club's in early April, while Republican challenger Dalia al-Aqidi's April party nod faces steep structural barriers in a D+30-plus area. Upsets would require a primary shock, major scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$36,461終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.5% for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic dominance—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—with incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar securing the DFL endorsement on May 9 after strong convention support, solidifying her primary path ahead of the August 11 vote. Historical election margins exceed 50 points for Democrats in this urban Minneapolis bastion, bolstered by Omar's fundraising edge and endorsements like Sierra Club's in early April, while Republican challenger Dalia al-Aqidi's April party nod faces steep structural barriers in a D+30-plus area. Upsets would require a primary shock, major scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,461終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.5% for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic dominance—rated Solid D by Cook Political Report—with incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar securing the DFL endorsement on May 9 after strong convention support, solidifying her primary path ahead of the August 11 vote. Historical election margins exceed 50 points for Democrats in this urban Minneapolis bastion, bolstered by Omar's fundraising edge and endorsements like Sierra Club's in early April, while Republican challenger Dalia al-Aqidi's April party nod faces steep structural barriers in a D+30-plus area. Upsets would require a primary shock, major scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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