Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s strong Republican lean and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The district’s partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results underscore its status as a safe Republican hold, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid Republican. Meuser, seeking reelection after advancing unopposed in the May primary, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace, who also cleared her primary without significant opposition. Trader consensus reflects limited pathways for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that overcomes the district’s structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PA-09 House Election Winner
PA-09 House Election Winner
$17,260 Vol.
$17,260 Vol.
2026/11/03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
5%
$17,260 Vol.
$17,260 Vol.
2026/11/03
Republican Party
$9,797 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$7,463 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s strong Republican lean and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The district’s partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results underscore its status as a safe Republican hold, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid Republican. Meuser, seeking reelection after advancing unopposed in the May primary, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace, who also cleared her primary without significant opposition. Trader consensus reflects limited pathways for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that overcomes the district’s structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$17,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s strong Republican lean and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The district’s partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results underscore its status as a safe Republican hold, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid Republican. Meuser, seeking reelection after advancing unopposed in the May primary, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace, who also cleared her primary without significant opposition. Trader consensus reflects limited pathways for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that overcomes the district’s structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s strong Republican lean and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The district’s partisan voting index and 2024 presidential results underscore its status as a safe Republican hold, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid Republican. Meuser, seeking reelection after advancing unopposed in the May primary, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace, who also cleared her primary without significant opposition. Trader consensus reflects limited pathways for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that overcomes the district’s structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問