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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選挙·フランスの選挙

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選挙·フランスの選挙

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$60,690 Vol.

2027/04/23
Polymarket

$60,690 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,186 Vol.

61%

Jordan Bardella

$4,883 Vol.

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 Vol.

13%

Valérie Pécresse

$476 Vol.

9%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Vol.

14%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 Vol.

7%

Jean Castex

$348 Vol.

7%

Gérald Darmanin

$389 Vol.

11%

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,721 Vol.

13%

François Bayrou

$553 Vol.

7%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$291 Vol.

56%

Carole Delga

$165 Vol.

13%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 Vol.

28%

François Hollande

$1,024 Vol.

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$7,327 Vol.

76%

Manuel Bompard

$2,888 Vol.

7%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 Vol.

4%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Vol.

53%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**French presidential candidates are actively declaring bids ahead of the April 2027 election, with Emmanuel Macron ineligible after two terms.** This has produced an unusually crowded field of declared and potential contenders across the center, right, and left, including recent moves by Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, and Marine Le Pen. Le Pen confirmed her candidacy in July 2026 following a court ruling that shortened her prior eligibility restriction. The Republicans selected Bruno Retailleau as their nominee via internal vote in April 2026, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon and others have also entered. Party primaries, coalition negotiations, and legal appeals continue to shape timing, with additional announcements possible before year-end amid polling that shows a fragmented contest and strong far-right positioning.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$60,690
終了日
2027/04/23
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**French presidential candidates are actively declaring bids ahead of the April 2027 election, with Emmanuel Macron ineligible after two terms.** This has produced an unusually crowded field of declared and potential contenders across the center, right, and left, including recent moves by Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, and Marine Le Pen. Le Pen confirmed her candidacy in July 2026 following a court ruling that shortened her prior eligibility restriction. The Republicans selected Bruno Retailleau as their nominee via internal vote in April 2026, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon and others have also entered. Party primaries, coalition negotiations, and legal appeals continue to shape timing, with additional announcements possible before year-end amid polling that shows a fragmented contest and strong far-right positioning.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$60,690
終了日
2027/04/23
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

関連

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はい
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よくある質問

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」はPolymarket上の21個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Gabriel Attal」で100%、次いで「Jean-Luc Mélenchon」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」は$60.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている21個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Gabriel Attal」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Jean-Luc Mélenchon」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。