**Trader consensus on B200 rental prices at end-September centers on the $6.50–$7.00 range (44% implied probability), reflecting current median on-demand rates near $6.15–$6.79 per GPU-hour across providers.** Recent listings show the lowest verified on-demand offers at $3.49–$3.75 (Prime Intellect, Packet.ai) while established platforms like CoreWeave and Nebius command $7.15–$8.60, producing a wide spread driven by neocloud capacity additions versus hyperscaler allocations. Persistent Blackwell supply limits from TSMC CoWoS-L packaging continue to support baseline demand for large-scale AI training and inference, yet expanding neocloud inventory has kept medians relatively flat over recent weeks. Nebius’s announced ~19% B200 increase effective October 1 adds modest upward pressure near the resolution window, though spot and community tiers remain available below $5.00. The distribution of outcomes around the current median underscores trader focus on near-term supply elasticity and provider-specific pricing dynamics rather than a sharp directional shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$6.50～$7.00 38%
$7.50以上 23.4%
$7.00～$7.50 16.6%
$6.00～$6.50 7%
$45,921 Vol.
$45,921 Vol.
2026/09/30
＜5.50ドル
<1%
$5.50〜$6.00
4%
$6.00～$6.50
7%
$6.50～$7.00
46%
$7.00～$7.50
17%
$7.50以上
23%
$6.50～$7.00 38%
$7.50以上 23.4%
$7.00～$7.50 16.6%
$6.00～$6.50 7%
$45,921 Vol.
$45,921 Vol.
2026/09/30
＜5.50ドル
$11,157 Vol.
<1%
$5.50〜$6.00
$4,871 Vol.
4%
$6.00～$6.50
$3,991 Vol.
7%
$6.50～$7.00
$12,311 Vol.
46%
$7.00～$7.50
$9,524 Vol.
17%
$7.50以上
$4,067 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Trader consensus on B200 rental prices at end-September centers on the $6.50–$7.00 range (44% implied probability), reflecting current median on-demand rates near $6.15–$6.79 per GPU-hour across providers.**
Recent listings show the lowest verified on-demand offers at $3.49–$3.75 (Prime Intellect, Packet.ai) while established platforms like CoreWeave and Nebius command $7.15–$8.60, producing a wide spread driven by neocloud capacity additions versus hyperscaler allocations. Persistent Blackwell supply limits from TSMC CoWoS-L packaging continue to support baseline demand for large-scale AI training and inference, yet expanding neocloud inventory has kept medians relatively flat over recent weeks. Nebius’s announced ~19% B200 increase effective October 1 adds modest upward pressure near the resolution window, though spot and community tiers remain available below $5.00. The distribution of outcomes around the current median underscores trader focus on near-term supply elasticity and provider-specific pricing dynamics rather than a sharp directional shift.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 30, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
音量
$45,921終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 11:34 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Trader consensus on B200 rental prices at end-September centers on the $6.50–$7.00 range (44% implied probability), reflecting current median on-demand rates near $6.15–$6.79 per GPU-hour across providers.**
Recent listings show the lowest verified on-demand offers at $3.49–$3.75 (Prime Intellect, Packet.ai) while established platforms like CoreWeave and Nebius command $7.15–$8.60, producing a wide spread driven by neocloud capacity additions versus hyperscaler allocations. Persistent Blackwell supply limits from TSMC CoWoS-L packaging continue to support baseline demand for large-scale AI training and inference, yet expanding neocloud inventory has kept medians relatively flat over recent weeks. Nebius’s announced ~19% B200 increase effective October 1 adds modest upward pressure near the resolution window, though spot and community tiers remain available below $5.00. The distribution of outcomes around the current median underscores trader focus on near-term supply elasticity and provider-specific pricing dynamics rather than a sharp directional shift.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
音量
$45,921終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 11:34 AM ET**Trader consensus on B200 rental prices at end-September centers on the $6.50–$7.00 range (44% implied probability), reflecting current median on-demand rates near $6.15–$6.79 per GPU-hour across providers.** Recent listings show the lowest verified on-demand offers at $3.49–$3.75 (Prime Intellect, Packet.ai) while established platforms like CoreWeave and Nebius command $7.15–$8.60, producing a wide spread driven by neocloud capacity additions versus hyperscaler allocations. Persistent Blackwell supply limits from TSMC CoWoS-L packaging continue to support baseline demand for large-scale AI training and inference, yet expanding neocloud inventory has kept medians relatively flat over recent weeks. Nebius’s announced ~19% B200 increase effective October 1 adds modest upward pressure near the resolution window, though spot and community tiers remain available below $5.00. The distribution of outcomes around the current median underscores trader focus on near-term supply elasticity and provider-specific pricing dynamics rather than a sharp directional shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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