**Recent volatility in neocloud H200 rental rates, driven by fluctuating supply of 141 GB HBM3e-equipped Hopper GPUs and sustained demand for memory-intensive large language model inference, underpins the closely contested Polymarket odds clustered around $4.50–$6.00 per GPU-hour.** Median on-demand prices sit near $4.40 across dozens of providers, with verified lows at $2.60–$3.50 on platforms like GMI Cloud and Ori, while hyperscaler and premium listings reach $5–$10+. A recent index settled at $5.22 after a 19% weekly gain, reflecting upward pressure from HBM3E contract price hikes of roughly 20% and constrained availability. Spot rates remain far lower, creating spread that traders weigh against potential month-end utilization spikes or additional capacity releases. This competitive landscape between cost-focused marketplaces and higher-tier providers keeps the leading outcomes tightly bunched, as small shifts in reported transactions could tip the final range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$5.00〜$5.50 26%
$5.50-$6.00 24%
$4.50〜$5.00 21.9%
6.00ドル以上 13.5%
$40,092 Vol.
$40,092 Vol.
$4.00未満
5%
$4.00~$4.50
10%
$4.50〜$5.00
22%
$5.00〜$5.50
26%
$5.50-$6.00
24%
6.00ドル以上
13%
$5.00〜$5.50 26%
$5.50-$6.00 24%
$4.50〜$5.00 21.9%
6.00ドル以上 13.5%
$40,092 Vol.
$40,092 Vol.
$4.00未満
5%
$4.00~$4.50
10%
$4.50〜$5.00
22%
$5.00〜$5.50
26%
$5.50-$6.00
24%
6.00ドル以上
13%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
**Recent volatility in neocloud H200 rental rates, driven by fluctuating supply of 141 GB HBM3e-equipped Hopper GPUs and sustained demand for memory-intensive large language model inference, underpins the closely contested Polymarket odds clustered around $4.50–$6.00 per GPU-hour.** Median on-demand prices sit near $4.40 across dozens of providers, with verified lows at $2.60–$3.50 on platforms like GMI Cloud and Ori, while hyperscaler and premium listings reach $5–$10+. A recent index settled at $5.22 after a 19% weekly gain, reflecting upward pressure from HBM3E contract price hikes of roughly 20% and constrained availability. Spot rates remain far lower, creating spread that traders weigh against potential month-end utilization spikes or additional capacity releases. This competitive landscape between cost-focused marketplaces and higher-tier providers keeps the leading outcomes tightly bunched, as small shifts in reported transactions could tip the final range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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