Recent model releases from multiple frontier labs have kept the race for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) tightly contested as of mid-September 2026. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3 and Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash updates emphasized improved steerability, prompt adherence, and reduced stylistic drift, supporting their leading market-implied odds near 30%. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and testing of a Writing Style feature that pulls from connected apps highlight efforts to enhance personalization, though its lower odds reflect questions around consistent leaderboard performance. Anthropic’s ongoing focus on Constitutional AI and brand controls in Claude Design positions it as a contender, while Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot trail on perceived capability gaps. Traders are watching for late-October or November updates that could shift rankings before the November 30 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Meta 31%
Google 29%
OpenAI 21%
アリババ 7.6%

Meta
31%

29%

OpenAI
21%

アリババ
8%

Thinky
8%

シャオミ
6%

テンセント
5%

Moonshot
4%

美団(Meituan)
4%

Anthropic
3%

Nvidia
3%

Z.ai
2%

Amazon
2%

StepFun
2%

Mistral
2%

Baidu
2%

バイトダンス
2%

SpaceXAI
1%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

マイクロソフト
<1%
Meta 31%
Google 29%
OpenAI 21%
アリババ 7.6%

Meta
31%

29%

OpenAI
21%

アリババ
8%

Thinky
8%

シャオミ
6%

テンセント
5%

Moonshot
4%

美団(Meituan)
4%

Anthropic
3%

Nvidia
3%

Z.ai
2%

Amazon
2%

StepFun
2%

Mistral
2%

Baidu
2%

バイトダンス
2%

SpaceXAI
1%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

マイクロソフト
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases from multiple frontier labs have kept the race for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) tightly contested as of mid-September 2026. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3 and Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash updates emphasized improved steerability, prompt adherence, and reduced stylistic drift, supporting their leading market-implied odds near 30%. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and testing of a Writing Style feature that pulls from connected apps highlight efforts to enhance personalization, though its lower odds reflect questions around consistent leaderboard performance. Anthropic’s ongoing focus on Constitutional AI and brand controls in Claude Design positions it as a contender, while Chinese labs like Alibaba and Moonshot trail on perceived capability gaps. Traders are watching for late-October or November updates that could shift rankings before the November 30 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問