OpenAI’s early September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max), which claimed the Code Arena WebDev top spot with an Elo score around 1,800 and a 35-point lead over rivals, has reshaped trader views on second place by end of November. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (Max) and Opus 5 models currently hold the next positions through strong multi-step reasoning and agentic web-dev performance, yet the market shows closely matched implied odds across labs because further releases or leaderboard shifts could alter rankings. Chinese contenders such as Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi series, and Meta’s Muse Spark models compete effectively on the cost-performance Pareto frontier but trail in absolute crowdsourced scores from over 650,000 votes on full-stack tasks. Key upcoming catalysts include additional model updates and continued voting that could tighten or widen gaps before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Moonshot 25%
MiniMax 24%
Z.ai 23%
Mistral 22%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
Moonshot
25%
MiniMax
24%
Z.ai
23%
Mistral
22%
Anthropic
21%
バイトダンス
21%
Meta
18%
18%
Poolside
18%
アリババ
16%
Thinky
15%
SpaceXAI
15%
シャオミ
14%
DeepSeek
14%
OpenAI
13%
テンセント
12%
Moonshot 25%
MiniMax 24%
Z.ai 23%
Mistral 22%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
Moonshot
$0 Vol.
25%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
24%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
23%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
22%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
21%
バイトダンス
$0 Vol.
21%
Meta
$0 Vol.
18%
$0 Vol.
18%
Poolside
$0 Vol.
18%
アリババ
$0 Vol.
16%
Thinky
$0 Vol.
15%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
15%
シャオミ
$0 Vol.
14%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
13%
テンセント
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s early September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max), which claimed the Code Arena WebDev top spot with an Elo score around 1,800 and a 35-point lead over rivals, has reshaped trader views on second place by end of November. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (Max) and Opus 5 models currently hold the next positions through strong multi-step reasoning and agentic web-dev performance, yet the market shows closely matched implied odds across labs because further releases or leaderboard shifts could alter rankings. Chinese contenders such as Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi series, and Meta’s Muse Spark models compete effectively on the cost-performance Pareto frontier but trail in absolute crowdsourced scores from over 650,000 votes on full-stack tasks. Key upcoming catalysts include additional model updates and continued voting that could tighten or widen gaps before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/01マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s early September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max), which claimed the Code Arena WebDev top spot with an Elo score around 1,800 and a 35-point lead over rivals, has reshaped trader views on second place by end of November. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (Max) and Opus 5 models currently hold the next positions through strong multi-step reasoning and agentic web-dev performance, yet the market shows closely matched implied odds across labs because further releases or leaderboard shifts could alter rankings. Chinese contenders such as Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi series, and Meta’s Muse Spark models compete effectively on the cost-performance Pareto frontier but trail in absolute crowdsourced scores from over 650,000 votes on full-stack tasks. Key upcoming catalysts include additional model updates and continued voting that could tighten or widen gaps before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$0終了日
2026/12/01マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s early September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max), which claimed the Code Arena WebDev top spot with an Elo score around 1,800 and a 35-point lead over rivals, has reshaped trader views on second place by end of November. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (Max) and Opus 5 models currently hold the next positions through strong multi-step reasoning and agentic web-dev performance, yet the market shows closely matched implied odds across labs because further releases or leaderboard shifts could alter rankings. Chinese contenders such as Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi series, and Meta’s Muse Spark models compete effectively on the cost-performance Pareto frontier but trail in absolute crowdsourced scores from over 650,000 votes on full-stack tasks. Key upcoming catalysts include additional model updates and continued voting that could tighten or widen gaps before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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