Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cadence, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24 after Opus 4.8 in late May, underpins trader expectations for the next version around late September 2026. Recent leaks and social media signals point to a possible Opus 5.2 drop as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 24 and roughly 80% implied probability by September 30. The company’s pattern of frequent flagship updates, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model releases, and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 all reinforce momentum for another Opus refresh focused on agentic coding, efficiency, and reduced safeguards. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API model-card update, or credible benchmark leak that could shift timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$152,131 Vol.
2026/09/17
9月17日
1%
9月20日
5%
9月24日
56%
9月27日
71%
9月30日
82%
10月31日
98%
12月31日
98%
$152,131 Vol.
9月17日
$10,505 Vol.
1%
9月20日
$6,360 Vol.
5%
9月24日
$4,365 Vol.
56%
9月27日
$3,563 Vol.
71%
9月30日
$67,072 Vol.
82%
10月31日
$13,548 Vol.
98%
12月31日
$5,203 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cadence, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24 after Opus 4.8 in late May, underpins trader expectations for the next version around late September 2026. Recent leaks and social media signals point to a possible Opus 5.2 drop as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 24 and roughly 80% implied probability by September 30. The company’s pattern of frequent flagship updates, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model releases, and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 all reinforce momentum for another Opus refresh focused on agentic coding, efficiency, and reduced safeguards. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API model-card update, or credible benchmark leak that could shift timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
音量
$152,131終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cadence, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24 after Opus 4.8 in late May, underpins trader expectations for the next version around late September 2026. Recent leaks and social media signals point to a possible Opus 5.2 drop as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 24 and roughly 80% implied probability by September 30. The company’s pattern of frequent flagship updates, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model releases, and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 all reinforce momentum for another Opus refresh focused on agentic coding, efficiency, and reduced safeguards. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API model-card update, or credible benchmark leak that could shift timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$152,131終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cadence, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24 after Opus 4.8 in late May, underpins trader expectations for the next version around late September 2026. Recent leaks and social media signals point to a possible Opus 5.2 drop as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 24 and roughly 80% implied probability by September 30. The company’s pattern of frequent flagship updates, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model releases, and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 all reinforce momentum for another Opus refresh focused on agentic coding, efficiency, and reduced safeguards. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API model-card update, or credible benchmark leak that could shift timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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