Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Sonnet line, highlighted by Claude Sonnet 5’s June 30, 2026 launch as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, shapes current trader views on the next release. The company followed its typical pattern of delivering point updates every four to five months, as seen in the 141-day gap between Sonnet 4.5 and 4.6, while competing directly with OpenAI and Google on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance benchmarks. Opus 5’s late-July arrival further signals ongoing frontier progress, though no official timeline or developer-conference hints have emerged for a Sonnet successor. Traders watch for supply-chain signals, API deprecations, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next iteration within the competitive large language model landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/31
8月31日
10%
10月31日
55%
12月31日
71%
$3,924 Vol.
8月31日
$562 Vol.
10%
10月31日
$257 Vol.
55%
12月31日
$3,105 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Sonnet line, highlighted by Claude Sonnet 5’s June 30, 2026 launch as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, shapes current trader views on the next release. The company followed its typical pattern of delivering point updates every four to five months, as seen in the 141-day gap between Sonnet 4.5 and 4.6, while competing directly with OpenAI and Google on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance benchmarks. Opus 5’s late-July arrival further signals ongoing frontier progress, though no official timeline or developer-conference hints have emerged for a Sonnet successor. Traders watch for supply-chain signals, API deprecations, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next iteration within the competitive large language model landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
音量
$3,924終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Sonnet line, highlighted by Claude Sonnet 5’s June 30, 2026 launch as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, shapes current trader views on the next release. The company followed its typical pattern of delivering point updates every four to five months, as seen in the 141-day gap between Sonnet 4.5 and 4.6, while competing directly with OpenAI and Google on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance benchmarks. Opus 5’s late-July arrival further signals ongoing frontier progress, though no official timeline or developer-conference hints have emerged for a Sonnet successor. Traders watch for supply-chain signals, API deprecations, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next iteration within the competitive large language model landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$3,924終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Sonnet line, highlighted by Claude Sonnet 5’s June 30, 2026 launch as the most agentic mid-tier model yet, shapes current trader views on the next release. The company followed its typical pattern of delivering point updates every four to five months, as seen in the 141-day gap between Sonnet 4.5 and 4.6, while competing directly with OpenAI and Google on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance benchmarks. Opus 5’s late-July arrival further signals ongoing frontier progress, though no official timeline or developer-conference hints have emerged for a Sonnet successor. Traders watch for supply-chain signals, API deprecations, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next iteration within the competitive large language model landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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