Z.ai (also known as zai-org or Zhipu AI) has driven the GLM series forward with rapid iteration on its flagship large language models, releasing GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, and GLM-5.2 by June. These updates emphasize agentic engineering, long-horizon coding tasks, expanded pre-training data, and context windows up to 1M tokens, with open-weight releases under the MIT license on Hugging Face and availability via api.z.ai and the Z.ai chat platform. The models target competitive benchmarks against Western frontier systems in reasoning and software engineering workflows. As of mid-August 2026, no external labs have announced GLM-branded releases, and trader focus centers on Z.ai’s internal cadence, potential developer conferences, or API updates that could signal a 5.4+ version. Product timelines in AI often shift due to safety testing or scaling challenges, keeping outcomes uncertain despite the team’s consistent output.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
9月30日
52%
10月31日
73%
$2,378 Vol.
9月30日
$538 Vol.
52%
10月31日
$1,840 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai (also known as zai-org or Zhipu AI) has driven the GLM series forward with rapid iteration on its flagship large language models, releasing GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, and GLM-5.2 by June. These updates emphasize agentic engineering, long-horizon coding tasks, expanded pre-training data, and context windows up to 1M tokens, with open-weight releases under the MIT license on Hugging Face and availability via api.z.ai and the Z.ai chat platform. The models target competitive benchmarks against Western frontier systems in reasoning and software engineering workflows. As of mid-August 2026, no external labs have announced GLM-branded releases, and trader focus centers on Z.ai’s internal cadence, potential developer conferences, or API updates that could signal a 5.4+ version. Product timelines in AI often shift due to safety testing or scaling challenges, keeping outcomes uncertain despite the team’s consistent output.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
音量
$2,378終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai (also known as zai-org or Zhipu AI) has driven the GLM series forward with rapid iteration on its flagship large language models, releasing GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, and GLM-5.2 by June. These updates emphasize agentic engineering, long-horizon coding tasks, expanded pre-training data, and context windows up to 1M tokens, with open-weight releases under the MIT license on Hugging Face and availability via api.z.ai and the Z.ai chat platform. The models target competitive benchmarks against Western frontier systems in reasoning and software engineering workflows. As of mid-August 2026, no external labs have announced GLM-branded releases, and trader focus centers on Z.ai’s internal cadence, potential developer conferences, or API updates that could signal a 5.4+ version. Product timelines in AI often shift due to safety testing or scaling challenges, keeping outcomes uncertain despite the team’s consistent output.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,378終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Z.ai (also known as zai-org or Zhipu AI) has driven the GLM series forward with rapid iteration on its flagship large language models, releasing GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, and GLM-5.2 by June. These updates emphasize agentic engineering, long-horizon coding tasks, expanded pre-training data, and context windows up to 1M tokens, with open-weight releases under the MIT license on Hugging Face and availability via api.z.ai and the Z.ai chat platform. The models target competitive benchmarks against Western frontier systems in reasoning and software engineering workflows. As of mid-August 2026, no external labs have announced GLM-branded releases, and trader focus centers on Z.ai’s internal cadence, potential developer conferences, or API updates that could signal a 5.4+ version. Product timelines in AI often shift due to safety testing or scaling challenges, keeping outcomes uncertain despite the team’s consistent output.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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