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icon for 次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？
テクノロジー·AI

次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？

icon for 次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？
テクノロジー·AI

次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？

8月 31

9月 30

8月 31

9月 30

9月30日までにリリースなし 48%

9月9日 13%

9月20日 6%

9月28日 6%

Polymarket
新規

9月30日までにリリースなし 48%

9月9日 13%

9月20日 6%

9月28日 6%

Polymarket
新規

2026年9月1日まで

$62 Vol.

3%

9月2日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月3日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月4日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月5日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月6日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月7日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月8日

$58 Vol.

4%

9月9日

$58 Vol.

13%

9月10日

$58 Vol.

1%

9月11日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月12日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月13日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月14日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月15日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月16日

$58 Vol.

4%

9月17日

$58 Vol.

3%

9月18日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月19日

$58 Vol.

4%

9月20日

$58 Vol.

6%

9月21日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月22日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月23日

$58 Vol.

6%

9月24日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月25日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月26日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月27日

$58 Vol.

5%

9月28日

$58 Vol.

6%

9月29日

$58 Vol.

4%

9月30日

$58 Vol.

4%

9月30日までにリリースなし

$230 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, the next major Pro-tier large language model after the February 2026 release of 3.1 Pro, are the dominant driver of market sentiment. Despite May announcements positioning the model for a June rollout with advanced reasoning and agentic capabilities, repeated internal performance shortfalls have kept it unavailable as of mid-August, while faster Flash variants like 3.6 and 3.7 shipped in July and August. This pattern of missed deadlines and focus on lighter models has elevated the "no release by September 30" outcome to 42% implied probability, reflecting trader views that competitive pressures and technical hurdles make a near-term Pro launch unlikely. Key upcoming catalysts include any official DeepMind statements or API listings that could shift the closely watched September windows.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,978
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, the next major Pro-tier large language model after the February 2026 release of 3.1 Pro, are the dominant driver of market sentiment. Despite May announcements positioning the model for a June rollout with advanced reasoning and agentic capabilities, repeated internal performance shortfalls have kept it unavailable as of mid-August, while faster Flash variants like 3.6 and 3.7 shipped in July and August. This pattern of missed deadlines and focus on lighter models has elevated the "no release by September 30" outcome to 42% implied probability, reflecting trader views that competitive pressures and technical hurdles make a near-term Pro launch unlikely. Key upcoming catalysts include any official DeepMind statements or API listings that could shift the closely watched September windows.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,978
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

関連

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Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

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icon for 2026年11月1日までに次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルはリリースされないのですか？

2026年11月1日までに次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルはリリースされないのですか？

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はい
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よくある質問

「次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？」はPolymarket上の31個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「9月30日までにリリースなし」で37%、次いで「9月9日」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、37¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に37%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている31個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「9月30日までにリリースなし」で37%であり、市場がこの結果に37%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月9日」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは...にリリースされましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。