Recent model releases and incremental improvements in large language model math reasoning have created a tight race for second place on the arena.ai Text Arena Math lab leaderboard, with current scores clustered closely among leading labs. Anthropic holds the top spot via Claude Opus variants, but Google, Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI sit within a narrow band, making positioning sensitive to any capability gains before November 30. Traders weigh factors such as proprietary versus open-weight progress, specialized math training techniques, and release cadence against historical patterns where new versions rapidly shift rankings. Key upcoming catalysts include expected updates from frontier labs and any verified benchmark jumps that could alter lab order without major regulatory or supply-chain disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 32%
Google 29%
OpenAI 19%
アリババ 14.0%

Anthropic
32%

29%

OpenAI
19%

アリババ
14%

Moonshot
9%

Z.ai
8%

ミストラル
4%

SpaceXAI
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Meta
4%

美団(Meituan)
4%

StepFun
4%

MiniMax
4%

バイトダンス
4%

Nvidia
4%

Amazon
3%

Xiaomi
3%

Thinky
21%

マイクロソフト
20%

Baidu
21%

テンセント
23%
Anthropic 32%
Google 29%
OpenAI 19%
アリババ 14.0%

Anthropic
32%

29%

OpenAI
19%

アリババ
14%

Moonshot
9%

Z.ai
8%

ミストラル
4%

SpaceXAI
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Meta
4%

美団(Meituan)
4%

StepFun
4%

MiniMax
4%

バイトダンス
4%

Nvidia
4%

Amazon
3%

Xiaomi
3%

Thinky
21%

マイクロソフト
20%

Baidu
21%

テンセント
23%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and incremental improvements in large language model math reasoning have created a tight race for second place on the arena.ai Text Arena Math lab leaderboard, with current scores clustered closely among leading labs. Anthropic holds the top spot via Claude Opus variants, but Google, Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI sit within a narrow band, making positioning sensitive to any capability gains before November 30. Traders weigh factors such as proprietary versus open-weight progress, specialized math training techniques, and release cadence against historical patterns where new versions rapidly shift rankings. Key upcoming catalysts include expected updates from frontier labs and any verified benchmark jumps that could alter lab order without major regulatory or supply-chain disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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