Persistent supply constraints from hyperscaler reservations and HBM3e memory bottlenecks continue to support elevated B200 rental rates near current medians around $5–$6.50 per hour, while accelerating TSMC production ramps and neocloud capacity additions create downside pressure that could push spot and reserved pricing below $4.50. Competitive dynamics hinge on provider tier, with low-overhead neoclouds like Spheron and Lambda offering $3.70–$5.50 rates versus hyperscaler premiums above $10, alongside distinctions between on-demand availability, spot discounts, and long-term reservations. Key swing factors include the pace of Blackwell volume shipments through Q4, sustained inference demand from frontier model deployments, and any new enterprise allocations that could tighten or loosen near-term October liquidity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$6.50以上 31%
$5.50~$6.00 17%
$6.00~$6.50 17%
$5.00~$5.50 16%
$4.50未満
23%
$4.50~$5.00
10%
$5.00~$5.50
16%
$5.50~$6.00
17%
$6.00~$6.50
17%
$6.50以上
31%
$6.50以上 31%
$5.50~$6.00 17%
$6.00~$6.50 17%
$5.00~$5.50 16%
$4.50未満
23%
$4.50~$5.00
10%
$5.00~$5.50
16%
$5.50~$6.00
17%
$6.00~$6.50
17%
$6.50以上
31%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent supply constraints from hyperscaler reservations and HBM3e memory bottlenecks continue to support elevated B200 rental rates near current medians around $5–$6.50 per hour, while accelerating TSMC production ramps and neocloud capacity additions create downside pressure that could push spot and reserved pricing below $4.50. Competitive dynamics hinge on provider tier, with low-overhead neoclouds like Spheron and Lambda offering $3.70–$5.50 rates versus hyperscaler premiums above $10, alongside distinctions between on-demand availability, spot discounts, and long-term reservations. Key swing factors include the pace of Blackwell volume shipments through Q4, sustained inference demand from frontier model deployments, and any new enterprise allocations that could tighten or loosen near-term October liquidity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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