Xi Jinping's consolidated authority as general secretary, president, and Central Military Commission chairman, reinforced by the absence of term limits and any designated successor, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus against his removal before 2027. Recent public appearances—including a late September U.S. visit and an October 1 national day address—have countered health speculation from earlier absences, while party preparations focus on the 21st National Congress in late 2027 for a likely fourth term rather than immediate transition. With only months remaining, no institutional or elite mechanisms exist to force an abrupt exit. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden incapacitating health event or major internal crisis, though current indicators point to continuity through the near term.
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