Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape expectations around further removals in 2026. High-profile military investigations announced in January 2026 removed Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, extending a multi-year campaign that has already sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and left the CMC with minimal remaining uniformed members. Additional civilian cases, including the July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member and Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, have broadened the scope beyond the armed forces. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, including cadre assessments and leadership reshuffles scheduled throughout 2026, provide institutional pressure for continued scrutiny of officials on corruption or disloyalty grounds. Trader focus centers on which remaining senior military or provincial figures may next face formal investigation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$199,158 Vol.
2026/12/31
董軍
12%
張昇民
6%
蔡奇
6%
趙楽際
5%
王滬寧
4%
丁薛祥
4%
李希
3%
李強
2%
王毅
2%
$199,158 Vol.
董軍
$37,884 Vol.
12%
張昇民
$28,278 Vol.
6%
蔡奇
$43,328 Vol.
6%
趙楽際
$10,974 Vol.
5%
王滬寧
$11,823 Vol.
4%
丁薛祥
$16,094 Vol.
4%
李希
$28,260 Vol.
3%
李強
$6,851 Vol.
2%
王毅
$15,668 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape expectations around further removals in 2026. High-profile military investigations announced in January 2026 removed Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, extending a multi-year campaign that has already sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and left the CMC with minimal remaining uniformed members. Additional civilian cases, including the July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member and Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, have broadened the scope beyond the armed forces. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, including cadre assessments and leadership reshuffles scheduled throughout 2026, provide institutional pressure for continued scrutiny of officials on corruption or disloyalty grounds. Trader focus centers on which remaining senior military or provincial figures may next face formal investigation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
音量
$199,158終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape expectations around further removals in 2026. High-profile military investigations announced in January 2026 removed Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, extending a multi-year campaign that has already sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and left the CMC with minimal remaining uniformed members. Additional civilian cases, including the July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member and Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, have broadened the scope beyond the armed forces. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, including cadre assessments and leadership reshuffles scheduled throughout 2026, provide institutional pressure for continued scrutiny of officials on corruption or disloyalty grounds. Trader focus centers on which remaining senior military or provincial figures may next face formal investigation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$199,158終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape expectations around further removals in 2026. High-profile military investigations announced in January 2026 removed Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, extending a multi-year campaign that has already sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and left the CMC with minimal remaining uniformed members. Additional civilian cases, including the July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member and Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, have broadened the scope beyond the armed forces. Preparations for the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, including cadre assessments and leadership reshuffles scheduled throughout 2026, provide institutional pressure for continued scrutiny of officials on corruption or disloyalty grounds. Trader focus centers on which remaining senior military or provincial figures may next face formal investigation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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