Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive within the People’s Liberation Army remains the dominant factor shaping expectations for further high-level removals through the end of 2026. Investigations announced in January into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli extended the purge beyond Xi’s earlier Fujian network, which saw He Weidong and Miao Hua expelled from the party in October 2025. More than 100 senior officers have been sidelined or investigated since 2022, leaving the CMC with only Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin as active uniformed members by April. A rare public reference by Xi to disloyalty in February, coupled with an April “rectification” session that underscored depleted senior ranks, signals continued pressure on remaining commanders to demonstrate absolute loyalty. Traders therefore focus on officers tied to prior networks or holding key operational posts that could face scrutiny amid ongoing leadership vacancies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$157,148 Vol.
2026/12/31
董軍
10%
王毅
7%
張昇民
5%
丁薛祥
5%
王滬寧
5%
趙楽際
5%
李強
5%
蔡奇
4%
李希
1%
$157,148 Vol.
董軍
$31,399 Vol.
10%
王毅
$11,744 Vol.
7%
張昇民
$19,809 Vol.
5%
丁薛祥
$13,496 Vol.
5%
王滬寧
$10,095 Vol.
5%
趙楽際
$6,881 Vol.
5%
李強
$5,513 Vol.
5%
蔡奇
$33,828 Vol.
4%
李希
$24,382 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive within the People’s Liberation Army remains the dominant factor shaping expectations for further high-level removals through the end of 2026. Investigations announced in January into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli extended the purge beyond Xi’s earlier Fujian network, which saw He Weidong and Miao Hua expelled from the party in October 2025. More than 100 senior officers have been sidelined or investigated since 2022, leaving the CMC with only Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin as active uniformed members by April. A rare public reference by Xi to disloyalty in February, coupled with an April “rectification” session that underscored depleted senior ranks, signals continued pressure on remaining commanders to demonstrate absolute loyalty. Traders therefore focus on officers tied to prior networks or holding key operational posts that could face scrutiny amid ongoing leadership vacancies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
音量
$157,148終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive within the People’s Liberation Army remains the dominant factor shaping expectations for further high-level removals through the end of 2026. Investigations announced in January into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli extended the purge beyond Xi’s earlier Fujian network, which saw He Weidong and Miao Hua expelled from the party in October 2025. More than 100 senior officers have been sidelined or investigated since 2022, leaving the CMC with only Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin as active uniformed members by April. A rare public reference by Xi to disloyalty in February, coupled with an April “rectification” session that underscored depleted senior ranks, signals continued pressure on remaining commanders to demonstrate absolute loyalty. Traders therefore focus on officers tied to prior networks or holding key operational posts that could face scrutiny amid ongoing leadership vacancies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$157,148終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive within the People’s Liberation Army remains the dominant factor shaping expectations for further high-level removals through the end of 2026. Investigations announced in January into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli extended the purge beyond Xi’s earlier Fujian network, which saw He Weidong and Miao Hua expelled from the party in October 2025. More than 100 senior officers have been sidelined or investigated since 2022, leaving the CMC with only Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin as active uniformed members by April. A rare public reference by Xi to disloyalty in February, coupled with an April “rectification” session that underscored depleted senior ranks, signals continued pressure on remaining commanders to demonstrate absolute loyalty. Traders therefore focus on officers tied to prior networks or holding key operational posts that could face scrutiny amid ongoing leadership vacancies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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