Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign, framed as enforcement of party discipline and loyalty, continues to shape expectations for further removals in 2026. The July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui marked the third such senior party figure targeted since 2025, extending scrutiny beyond the military to civilian leadership networks. Earlier in the year, investigations into Central Military Commission figures consolidated control around Xi and anti-graft overseer Zhang Shengmin, followed by July promotions of replacement generals. The October 2026 fifth plenum, focused on governance standards ahead of the 2027 party congress, could accelerate assessments of officials for the leadership transition window. Traders weigh these patterns of elite turnover against the opaque nature of internal investigations and the risk of late-cycle shifts before major personnel decisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$199,128 Vol.
2026/12/31
董軍
13%
張昇民
7%
蔡奇
6%
趙楽際
5%
丁薛祥
4%
王滬寧
4%
李希
3%
李強
2%
王毅
2%
$199,128 Vol.
董軍
$37,884 Vol.
13%
張昇民
$28,278 Vol.
7%
蔡奇
$43,298 Vol.
6%
趙楽際
$10,974 Vol.
5%
丁薛祥
$16,094 Vol.
4%
王滬寧
$11,823 Vol.
4%
李希
$28,260 Vol.
3%
李強
$6,851 Vol.
2%
王毅
$15,668 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign, framed as enforcement of party discipline and loyalty, continues to shape expectations for further removals in 2026. The July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui marked the third such senior party figure targeted since 2025, extending scrutiny beyond the military to civilian leadership networks. Earlier in the year, investigations into Central Military Commission figures consolidated control around Xi and anti-graft overseer Zhang Shengmin, followed by July promotions of replacement generals. The October 2026 fifth plenum, focused on governance standards ahead of the 2027 party congress, could accelerate assessments of officials for the leadership transition window. Traders weigh these patterns of elite turnover against the opaque nature of internal investigations and the risk of late-cycle shifts before major personnel decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
音量
$199,128終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign, framed as enforcement of party discipline and loyalty, continues to shape expectations for further removals in 2026. The July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui marked the third such senior party figure targeted since 2025, extending scrutiny beyond the military to civilian leadership networks. Earlier in the year, investigations into Central Military Commission figures consolidated control around Xi and anti-graft overseer Zhang Shengmin, followed by July promotions of replacement generals. The October 2026 fifth plenum, focused on governance standards ahead of the 2027 party congress, could accelerate assessments of officials for the leadership transition window. Traders weigh these patterns of elite turnover against the opaque nature of internal investigations and the risk of late-cycle shifts before major personnel decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$199,128終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign, framed as enforcement of party discipline and loyalty, continues to shape expectations for further removals in 2026. The July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui marked the third such senior party figure targeted since 2025, extending scrutiny beyond the military to civilian leadership networks. Earlier in the year, investigations into Central Military Commission figures consolidated control around Xi and anti-graft overseer Zhang Shengmin, followed by July promotions of replacement generals. The October 2026 fifth plenum, focused on governance standards ahead of the 2027 party congress, could accelerate assessments of officials for the leadership transition window. Traders weigh these patterns of elite turnover against the opaque nature of internal investigations and the risk of late-cycle shifts before major personnel decisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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