Recent developments underscore why traders assign an 85.5% probability against a trilateral appearance by President Trump, Russian President Putin, and Ukrainian President Zelensky before 2027. Bilateral U.S.-Russia contacts have dominated, including the August 2025 Alaska summit and April 2026 Trump-Putin phone calls focused on cease-fire proposals, while Kyiv has been kept at arm’s length. Putin has repeatedly conditioned any direct meeting with Zelensky on prior agreement to territorial and security terms, rejecting earlier U.S. suggestions for a leaders-level trilateral format. Recent envoy-level talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, plus a short May 2026 cease-fire and prisoner exchange, have not produced the diplomatic breakthrough needed to schedule a three-way summit. With only months remaining in 2026 and Russia maintaining strict sequencing demands, the market reflects the low likelihood of the required alignment materializing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
はい
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.
The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.
マーケット開始日: Dec 16, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.
The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments underscore why traders assign an 85.5% probability against a trilateral appearance by President Trump, Russian President Putin, and Ukrainian President Zelensky before 2027. Bilateral U.S.-Russia contacts have dominated, including the August 2025 Alaska summit and April 2026 Trump-Putin phone calls focused on cease-fire proposals, while Kyiv has been kept at arm’s length. Putin has repeatedly conditioned any direct meeting with Zelensky on prior agreement to territorial and security terms, rejecting earlier U.S. suggestions for a leaders-level trilateral format. Recent envoy-level talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, plus a short May 2026 cease-fire and prisoner exchange, have not produced the diplomatic breakthrough needed to schedule a three-way summit. With only months remaining in 2026 and Russia maintaining strict sequencing demands, the market reflects the low likelihood of the required alignment materializing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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