Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the provision's extraordinary political barriers: invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of principal Cabinet officers to declare presidential incapacity, a step untested against an elected leader and politically toxic for appointees. Early April 2026 saw over 50 Democrats, including Reps. Goldman and Raskin, plus the NAACP and ex-CIA Director Brennan, urge action amid Trump's escalatory Iran rhetoric—threatening to "wipe out a whole civilization"—and unverified health concerns, but no Cabinet support emerged, dismissing calls as partisan theater. Absent momentum or official signals since, traders see negligible path forward before term's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$24,050 Vol.
$24,050 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$24,050 Vol.
$24,050 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the provision's extraordinary political barriers: invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of principal Cabinet officers to declare presidential incapacity, a step untested against an elected leader and politically toxic for appointees. Early April 2026 saw over 50 Democrats, including Reps. Goldman and Raskin, plus the NAACP and ex-CIA Director Brennan, urge action amid Trump's escalatory Iran rhetoric—threatening to "wipe out a whole civilization"—and unverified health concerns, but no Cabinet support emerged, dismissing calls as partisan theater. Absent momentum or official signals since, traders see negligible path forward before term's end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$24,050終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the provision's extraordinary political barriers: invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of principal Cabinet officers to declare presidential incapacity, a step untested against an elected leader and politically toxic for appointees. Early April 2026 saw over 50 Democrats, including Reps. Goldman and Raskin, plus the NAACP and ex-CIA Director Brennan, urge action amid Trump's escalatory Iran rhetoric—threatening to "wipe out a whole civilization"—and unverified health concerns, but no Cabinet support emerged, dismissing calls as partisan theater. Absent momentum or official signals since, traders see negligible path forward before term's end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
音量
$24,050終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, driven by the provision's extraordinary political barriers: invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of principal Cabinet officers to declare presidential incapacity, a step untested against an elected leader and politically toxic for appointees. Early April 2026 saw over 50 Democrats, including Reps. Goldman and Raskin, plus the NAACP and ex-CIA Director Brennan, urge action amid Trump's escalatory Iran rhetoric—threatening to "wipe out a whole civilization"—and unverified health concerns, but no Cabinet support emerged, dismissing calls as partisan theater. Absent momentum or official signals since, traders see negligible path forward before term's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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