Trump's continued service as president through at least the end of 2026 aligns with the current 94.5 percent trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have prevented any meaningful traction for Democratic-led impeachment resolutions or 25th Amendment proceedings, including recent symbolic filings citing health and policy concerns. No verified reports of incapacity, formal cabinet action, or voluntary step-down have surfaced in the past month amid the president's active schedule of executive actions and foreign policy statements. Historical patterns show early-term departures remain rare absent overwhelming bipartisan support or acute crises, and scheduled midterms in November represent the nearest potential institutional shift without immediate procedural impact on the 2026 resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$17,431 Vol.
$17,431 Vol.
はい
$17,431 Vol.
$17,431 Vol.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's continued service as president through at least the end of 2026 aligns with the current 94.5 percent trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have prevented any meaningful traction for Democratic-led impeachment resolutions or 25th Amendment proceedings, including recent symbolic filings citing health and policy concerns. No verified reports of incapacity, formal cabinet action, or voluntary step-down have surfaced in the past month amid the president's active schedule of executive actions and foreign policy statements. Historical patterns show early-term departures remain rare absent overwhelming bipartisan support or acute crises, and scheduled midterms in November represent the nearest potential institutional shift without immediate procedural impact on the 2026 resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問