The Democratic nominee is positioned strongly in this competitive rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district. Recent polls show Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson, a former local news anchor, leading Perry by 3 to 4 points, building on her narrow loss in 2024. Stelson has raised significantly more funds than her primary opponent, Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas, ahead of the May 19 Democratic primary. Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up, with the district’s partisan voting index near even and both parties targeting the seat as one of the most vulnerable Republican-held districts in the 2026 midterms. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
69%
共和党
31%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$57 Vol.
69%
共和党
$380 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee is positioned strongly in this competitive rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district. Recent polls show Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson, a former local news anchor, leading Perry by 3 to 4 points, building on her narrow loss in 2024. Stelson has raised significantly more funds than her primary opponent, Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas, ahead of the May 19 Democratic primary. Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up, with the district’s partisan voting index near even and both parties targeting the seat as one of the most vulnerable Republican-held districts in the 2026 midterms. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$437終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee is positioned strongly in this competitive rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district. Recent polls show Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson, a former local news anchor, leading Perry by 3 to 4 points, building on her narrow loss in 2024. Stelson has raised significantly more funds than her primary opponent, Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas, ahead of the May 19 Democratic primary. Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up, with the district’s partisan voting index near even and both parties targeting the seat as one of the most vulnerable Republican-held districts in the 2026 midterms. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$437終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee is positioned strongly in this competitive rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district. Recent polls show Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson, a former local news anchor, leading Perry by 3 to 4 points, building on her narrow loss in 2024. Stelson has raised significantly more funds than her primary opponent, Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas, ahead of the May 19 Democratic primary. Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up, with the district’s partisan voting index near even and both parties targeting the seat as one of the most vulnerable Republican-held districts in the 2026 midterms. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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