The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented heading into the October 4 first-round vote, with no candidate holding a commanding position in recent polling. Multiple contenders from PT, PL, and União Brasil, including Cadu Xavier, Álvaro Dias, and Allyson Bezerra, compete in a crowded field of nine registered candidates following the departure of the term-limited incumbent. July and August surveys show the top three clustered in the mid-20s to mid-30s, leaving substantial room for undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics on October 25. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through dispersed probabilities, with separation likely hinging on coalition alignments, campaign momentum, and any late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment in the Northeast state.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日カドゥ・デ・ルラ 38%
アルヴァロ・ディアス 38%
エンリケ・リラ 36%
ロベリオ・パウリーノ教授 36%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
カドゥ・デ・ルラ
38%
アルヴァロ・ディアス
38%
エンリケ・リラ
36%
ロベリオ・パウリーノ教授
36%
アリナルダ・ド・MLB
34%
ロドリゴ・ボルソナロ
33%
カルロス・ジャララカ
33%
ダリオ・バルボーザ
32%
アリソン
35%
カドゥ・デ・ルラ 38%
アルヴァロ・ディアス 38%
エンリケ・リラ 36%
ロベリオ・パウリーノ教授 36%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
カドゥ・デ・ルラ
$10 Vol.
38%
アルヴァロ・ディアス
$10 Vol.
38%
エンリケ・リラ
$10 Vol.
36%
ロベリオ・パウリーノ教授
$10 Vol.
36%
アリナルダ・ド・MLB
$10 Vol.
34%
ロドリゴ・ボルソナロ
$77 Vol.
33%
カルロス・ジャララカ
$10 Vol.
33%
ダリオ・バルボーザ
$77 Vol.
32%
アリソン
$29 Vol.
35%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented heading into the October 4 first-round vote, with no candidate holding a commanding position in recent polling. Multiple contenders from PT, PL, and União Brasil, including Cadu Xavier, Álvaro Dias, and Allyson Bezerra, compete in a crowded field of nine registered candidates following the departure of the term-limited incumbent. July and August surveys show the top three clustered in the mid-20s to mid-30s, leaving substantial room for undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics on October 25. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through dispersed probabilities, with separation likely hinging on coalition alignments, campaign momentum, and any late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment in the Northeast state.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
音量
$243終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented heading into the October 4 first-round vote, with no candidate holding a commanding position in recent polling. Multiple contenders from PT, PL, and União Brasil, including Cadu Xavier, Álvaro Dias, and Allyson Bezerra, compete in a crowded field of nine registered candidates following the departure of the term-limited incumbent. July and August surveys show the top three clustered in the mid-20s to mid-30s, leaving substantial room for undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics on October 25. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through dispersed probabilities, with separation likely hinging on coalition alignments, campaign momentum, and any late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment in the Northeast state.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$243終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented heading into the October 4 first-round vote, with no candidate holding a commanding position in recent polling. Multiple contenders from PT, PL, and União Brasil, including Cadu Xavier, Álvaro Dias, and Allyson Bezerra, compete in a crowded field of nine registered candidates following the departure of the term-limited incumbent. July and August surveys show the top three clustered in the mid-20s to mid-30s, leaving substantial room for undecided voters and potential runoff dynamics on October 25. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through dispersed probabilities, with separation likely hinging on coalition alignments, campaign momentum, and any late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment in the Northeast state.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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