Despite multiple impeachment petitions against STF justices including Alexandre de Moraes, Gilmar Mendes, and Dias Toffoli, and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings over the Banco Master case, Senate leadership has taken no action to advance any petition to committee or floor vote. Brazil’s process requires initiation by the prosecutor general followed by a two-thirds Senate majority, a threshold never met since the court’s founding. A December 2025 liminar by Gilmar Mendes suspended key provisions of the 1950 impeachment statute pending full STF review, further stalling momentum. Recent opposition calls tied to rulings on sentencing laws and Bolsonaro’s sentence have produced additional filings but no procedural progress through May 2026. Traders price these institutional and legal barriers as durable constraints through 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$70,751 Vol.
$70,751 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$70,751 Vol.
$70,751 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite multiple impeachment petitions against STF justices including Alexandre de Moraes, Gilmar Mendes, and Dias Toffoli, and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings over the Banco Master case, Senate leadership has taken no action to advance any petition to committee or floor vote. Brazil’s process requires initiation by the prosecutor general followed by a two-thirds Senate majority, a threshold never met since the court’s founding. A December 2025 liminar by Gilmar Mendes suspended key provisions of the 1950 impeachment statute pending full STF review, further stalling momentum. Recent opposition calls tied to rulings on sentencing laws and Bolsonaro’s sentence have produced additional filings but no procedural progress through May 2026. Traders price these institutional and legal barriers as durable constraints through 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
音量
$70,751終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite multiple impeachment petitions against STF justices including Alexandre de Moraes, Gilmar Mendes, and Dias Toffoli, and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings over the Banco Master case, Senate leadership has taken no action to advance any petition to committee or floor vote. Brazil’s process requires initiation by the prosecutor general followed by a two-thirds Senate majority, a threshold never met since the court’s founding. A December 2025 liminar by Gilmar Mendes suspended key provisions of the 1950 impeachment statute pending full STF review, further stalling momentum. Recent opposition calls tied to rulings on sentencing laws and Bolsonaro’s sentence have produced additional filings but no procedural progress through May 2026. Traders price these institutional and legal barriers as durable constraints through 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$70,751終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite multiple impeachment petitions against STF justices including Alexandre de Moraes, Gilmar Mendes, and Dias Toffoli, and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings over the Banco Master case, Senate leadership has taken no action to advance any petition to committee or floor vote. Brazil’s process requires initiation by the prosecutor general followed by a two-thirds Senate majority, a threshold never met since the court’s founding. A December 2025 liminar by Gilmar Mendes suspended key provisions of the 1950 impeachment statute pending full STF review, further stalling momentum. Recent opposition calls tied to rulings on sentencing laws and Bolsonaro’s sentence have produced additional filings but no procedural progress through May 2026. Traders price these institutional and legal barriers as durable constraints through 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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