Nicolás Maduro faces US federal charges in the Southern District of New York on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and related weapons counts stemming from allegations of state-sponsored trafficking. Captured in a January 2026 US military operation and transferred to custody, he and his wife entered not guilty pleas. A June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026, with defense counsel signaling motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds and other jurisdictional challenges modeled on prior cases. Pre-trial deadlines for such filings begin in September 2026, creating extended uncertainty over full conviction on every count. These procedural hurdles, the distant trial timeline, and historical patterns in complex narcotics prosecutions inform trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome at current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
27% 確率
$126,284 Vol.
$126,284 Vol.
2027/12/31
はい
27% 確率
$126,284 Vol.
$126,284 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces US federal charges in the Southern District of New York on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and related weapons counts stemming from allegations of state-sponsored trafficking. Captured in a January 2026 US military operation and transferred to custody, he and his wife entered not guilty pleas. A June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026, with defense counsel signaling motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds and other jurisdictional challenges modeled on prior cases. Pre-trial deadlines for such filings begin in September 2026, creating extended uncertainty over full conviction on every count. These procedural hurdles, the distant trial timeline, and historical patterns in complex narcotics prosecutions inform trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome at current pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
音量
$126,284終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces US federal charges in the Southern District of New York on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and related weapons counts stemming from allegations of state-sponsored trafficking. Captured in a January 2026 US military operation and transferred to custody, he and his wife entered not guilty pleas. A June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026, with defense counsel signaling motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds and other jurisdictional challenges modeled on prior cases. Pre-trial deadlines for such filings begin in September 2026, creating extended uncertainty over full conviction on every count. These procedural hurdles, the distant trial timeline, and historical patterns in complex narcotics prosecutions inform trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome at current pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$126,284終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces US federal charges in the Southern District of New York on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and related weapons counts stemming from allegations of state-sponsored trafficking. Captured in a January 2026 US military operation and transferred to custody, he and his wife entered not guilty pleas. A June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026, with defense counsel signaling motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds and other jurisdictional challenges modeled on prior cases. Pre-trial deadlines for such filings begin in September 2026, creating extended uncertainty over full conviction on every count. These procedural hurdles, the distant trial timeline, and historical patterns in complex narcotics prosecutions inform trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome at current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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