Nicolás Maduro and wife Cilia Flores, facing a superseding US indictment on narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, entered not guilty pleas in January 2026 after US capture and extradition. Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability due to ongoing pretrial challenges, including March court arguments over blocked Venezuelan state funds for defense counsel and head-of-state immunity claims, amid the narcoterrorism statute's limited trial success rate—most charged plead to lesser offenses. No trial date set beyond a June 30 status hearing, with legal experts noting procedural hurdles and potential plea negotiations as key factors tempering full conviction odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$102,578 Vol.
$102,578 Vol.
2027/12/31
はい
$102,578 Vol.
$102,578 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro and wife Cilia Flores, facing a superseding US indictment on narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, entered not guilty pleas in January 2026 after US capture and extradition. Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability due to ongoing pretrial challenges, including March court arguments over blocked Venezuelan state funds for defense counsel and head-of-state immunity claims, amid the narcoterrorism statute's limited trial success rate—most charged plead to lesser offenses. No trial date set beyond a June 30 status hearing, with legal experts noting procedural hurdles and potential plea negotiations as key factors tempering full conviction odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
音量
$102,578終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro and wife Cilia Flores, facing a superseding US indictment on narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, entered not guilty pleas in January 2026 after US capture and extradition. Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability due to ongoing pretrial challenges, including March court arguments over blocked Venezuelan state funds for defense counsel and head-of-state immunity claims, amid the narcoterrorism statute's limited trial success rate—most charged plead to lesser offenses. No trial date set beyond a June 30 status hearing, with legal experts noting procedural hurdles and potential plea negotiations as key factors tempering full conviction odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$102,578終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro and wife Cilia Flores, facing a superseding US indictment on narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, entered not guilty pleas in January 2026 after US capture and extradition. Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability due to ongoing pretrial challenges, including March court arguments over blocked Venezuelan state funds for defense counsel and head-of-state immunity claims, amid the narcoterrorism statute's limited trial success rate—most charged plead to lesser offenses. No trial date set beyond a June 30 status hearing, with legal experts noting procedural hurdles and potential plea negotiations as key factors tempering full conviction odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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