The primary driver behind the 63.5% market-implied odds for “No” on Chud the Builder’s conviction remains the case’s early pre-trial posture. Dalton Eatherly, the IRL streamer known for confrontational content, faces attempted murder and related felony counts from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, plus separate misdemeanor charges; proceedings have only reached grand-jury review, with no trial date set and Eatherly released on $1 million bond under house arrest in August. Traders price the July 2027 resolution deadline as the decisive constraint, noting that complex violent-felony cases in Tennessee typically require 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict, creating room for delays, pleas without admission of guilt, or other outcomes that would resolve the market to “No.” Recent social-media activity and ongoing public commentary around the streamer have not altered this timeline assessment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070be91...The primary driver behind the 63.5% market-implied odds for “No” on Chud the Builder’s conviction remains the case’s early pre-trial posture. Dalton Eatherly, the IRL streamer known for confrontational content, faces attempted murder and related felony counts from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, plus separate misdemeanor charges; proceedings have only reached grand-jury review, with no trial date set and Eatherly released on $1 million bond under house arrest in August. Traders price the July 2027 resolution deadline as the decisive constraint, noting that complex violent-felony cases in Tennessee typically require 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict, creating room for delays, pleas without admission of guilt, or other outcomes that would resolve the market to “No.” Recent social-media activity and ongoing public commentary around the streamer have not altered this timeline assessment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問