The Espírito Santo Senate race features an unusually crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates competing for two seats in the October 2026 election, with no single contender yet establishing a dominant position in trader assessments. Recent July polling showed former governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) ahead at 24-35 percent, well clear of incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val along with names such as Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, and Maguinha Malta, yet the market’s tightly clustered probabilities reflect the long timeline until voting, limited name recognition for many challengers, and potential for shifts driven by alliances, campaign spending, or late endorsements. Incumbency advantages for sitting senators and the two-seat structure further fragment first-place expectations, leaving room for any of several viable contenders to surge if polling trends consolidate or key party coalitions solidify before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ファビアン教授 44%
カレガリ 44%
レナート・カサグランデ 44%
ローズ・ジ・フレイタス 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ファビアン教授
44%
カレガリ
44%
レナート・カサグランデ
44%
ローズ・ジ・フレイタス
44%
セルジオ・メネゲリ
44%
ロドニー・ミランダ
44%
マギーニャ・マルタ
42%
マルコス・ド・ヴァル
42%
レオナルド・モンジャルジン
41%
エヴァイル・デ・メロ
41%
ファビアーノ・コンタラート
41%
ファビアン教授 44%
カレガリ 44%
レナート・カサグランデ 44%
ローズ・ジ・フレイタス 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ファビアン教授
$0 Vol.
44%
カレガリ
$0 Vol.
44%
レナート・カサグランデ
$0 Vol.
44%
ローズ・ジ・フレイタス
$0 Vol.
44%
セルジオ・メネゲリ
$0 Vol.
44%
ロドニー・ミランダ
$0 Vol.
44%
マギーニャ・マルタ
$0 Vol.
42%
マルコス・ド・ヴァル
$0 Vol.
42%
レオナルド・モンジャルジン
$0 Vol.
41%
エヴァイル・デ・メロ
$0 Vol.
41%
ファビアーノ・コンタラート
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features an unusually crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates competing for two seats in the October 2026 election, with no single contender yet establishing a dominant position in trader assessments. Recent July polling showed former governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) ahead at 24-35 percent, well clear of incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val along with names such as Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, and Maguinha Malta, yet the market’s tightly clustered probabilities reflect the long timeline until voting, limited name recognition for many challengers, and potential for shifts driven by alliances, campaign spending, or late endorsements. Incumbency advantages for sitting senators and the two-seat structure further fragment first-place expectations, leaving room for any of several viable contenders to surge if polling trends consolidate or key party coalitions solidify before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features an unusually crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates competing for two seats in the October 2026 election, with no single contender yet establishing a dominant position in trader assessments. Recent July polling showed former governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) ahead at 24-35 percent, well clear of incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val along with names such as Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, and Maguinha Malta, yet the market’s tightly clustered probabilities reflect the long timeline until voting, limited name recognition for many challengers, and potential for shifts driven by alliances, campaign spending, or late endorsements. Incumbency advantages for sitting senators and the two-seat structure further fragment first-place expectations, leaving room for any of several viable contenders to surge if polling trends consolidate or key party coalitions solidify before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race features an unusually crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates competing for two seats in the October 2026 election, with no single contender yet establishing a dominant position in trader assessments. Recent July polling showed former governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) ahead at 24-35 percent, well clear of incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val along with names such as Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, and Maguinha Malta, yet the market’s tightly clustered probabilities reflect the long timeline until voting, limited name recognition for many challengers, and potential for shifts driven by alliances, campaign spending, or late endorsements. Incumbency advantages for sitting senators and the two-seat structure further fragment first-place expectations, leaving room for any of several viable contenders to surge if polling trends consolidate or key party coalitions solidify before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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