The Acre Senate election for first place features a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders, producing tight trader-implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 50%. This positioning reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner after recent party conventions and coalition talks, with established names such as Petecão, Gladson Cameli, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana drawing comparable support from distinct regional bases. Factors sustaining the balance include Acre's multi-party dynamics, ongoing negotiations over alliances for the 2026 ballot, and voter priorities around Amazon-region infrastructure and federal transfers. Scheduled alliance deadlines and any late endorsements in the coming months could consolidate backing and widen gaps among the top group.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士 46%
エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ 45%
マルシオ・ビッター 39%
ペテカン 38%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士
46%
エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ
45%
マルシオ・ビッター
39%
ペテカン
38%
イナシオ・モレイラ教授
38%
グラッドソン・カメリ
37%
ジョルジ・ヴィアナ
37%
マラ・ロシャ
37%
ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士 46%
エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ 45%
マルシオ・ビッター 39%
ペテカン 38%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士
$0 Vol.
46%
エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ
$0 Vol.
45%
マルシオ・ビッター
$0 Vol.
39%
ペテカン
$0 Vol.
38%
イナシオ・モレイラ教授
$0 Vol.
38%
グラッドソン・カメリ
$0 Vol.
37%
ジョルジ・ヴィアナ
$0 Vol.
37%
マラ・ロシャ
$0 Vol.
37%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate election for first place features a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders, producing tight trader-implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 50%. This positioning reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner after recent party conventions and coalition talks, with established names such as Petecão, Gladson Cameli, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana drawing comparable support from distinct regional bases. Factors sustaining the balance include Acre's multi-party dynamics, ongoing negotiations over alliances for the 2026 ballot, and voter priorities around Amazon-region infrastructure and federal transfers. Scheduled alliance deadlines and any late endorsements in the coming months could consolidate backing and widen gaps among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate election for first place features a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders, producing tight trader-implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 50%. This positioning reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner after recent party conventions and coalition talks, with established names such as Petecão, Gladson Cameli, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana drawing comparable support from distinct regional bases. Factors sustaining the balance include Acre's multi-party dynamics, ongoing negotiations over alliances for the 2026 ballot, and voter priorities around Amazon-region infrastructure and federal transfers. Scheduled alliance deadlines and any late endorsements in the coming months could consolidate backing and widen gaps among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre Senate election for first place features a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders, producing tight trader-implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 50%. This positioning reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner after recent party conventions and coalition talks, with established names such as Petecão, Gladson Cameli, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana drawing comparable support from distinct regional bases. Factors sustaining the balance include Acre's multi-party dynamics, ongoing negotiations over alliances for the 2026 ballot, and voter priorities around Amazon-region infrastructure and federal transfers. Scheduled alliance deadlines and any late endorsements in the coming months could consolidate backing and widen gaps among the top group.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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