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icon for ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位

ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位

icon for ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位

ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位

Marília Campos 25%

Gustavo Galassi 24%

Victória Mello Vic 24%

Manoel Carvalho 23%

Polymarket
新規

Marília Campos 25%

Gustavo Galassi 24%

Victória Mello Vic 24%

Manoel Carvalho 23%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$20 Vol.

25%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$20 Vol.

24%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$20 Vol.

24%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$20 Vol.

23%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$61 Vol.

18%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$20 Vol.

17%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$69 Vol.

17%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$20 Vol.

16%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$40 Vol.

7%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$40 Vol.

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Minas Gerais Senate race, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus on second place remains highly fragmented, with Marília Campos (PT), Gustavo Galassi, Marcelo Aro (PP), and several others clustered between roughly 18% and 23.5% implied probability. Recent July and early August 2026 polls, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, show Campos leading overall but with no dominant contender for the runner-up spot amid a field of 17 registered candidates. Official campaigning only began days ago, leaving room for coalition negotiations, endorsements, and voter shifts to influence positioning before the October vote. Late developments such as stronger polling trends or key party alliances could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$470
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Minas Gerais Senate race, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus on second place remains highly fragmented, with Marília Campos (PT), Gustavo Galassi, Marcelo Aro (PP), and several others clustered between roughly 18% and 23.5% implied probability. Recent July and early August 2026 polls, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, show Campos leading overall but with no dominant contender for the runner-up spot amid a field of 17 registered candidates. Official campaigning only began days ago, leaving room for coalition negotiations, endorsements, and voter shifts to influence positioning before the October vote. Late developments such as stronger polling trends or key party alliances could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$470
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Marília Campos」で25%、次いで「Gustavo Galassi」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、25¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に25%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位」の現在のフロントランナーは「Marília Campos」で25%であり、市場がこの結果に25%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Gustavo Galassi」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミナスジェライス州上院選挙: 2位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。