Jury deliberations began this week in Harvey Weinstein's third New York retrial on a third-degree rape charge involving actress Jessica Mann—previously resulting in a hung jury—fueling the closely contested trader sentiment on his total prison time. No prison time leads at 29.6%, neck-and-neck with 20-30 years (24.3%) and 10-20 years (23.2%), as bettors parse the #MeToo-era Hollywood mogul's standing 16-year California rape sentence under appeal, an upheld 2025 Manhattan sex assault conviction awaiting sentencing, and his age-74 health struggles, including a chest pain episode halting proceedings yesterday. Key swing factors include the imminent verdict, appellate rulings, and plea possibilities for concurrent terms or time served.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHarvey Weinstein prison time?
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
No Prison Time 28.9%
10-20 years 26.7%
20-30 years 24.3%
<5 years 9.3%
$928,346 Vol.
$928,346 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
No Prison Time
29%
<5 years
9%
5-10 years
5%
10-20 years
27%
20-30 years
24%
30+ years
7%
No Prison Time 28.9%
10-20 years 26.7%
20-30 years 24.3%
<5 years 9.3%
$928,346 Vol.
$928,346 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
No Prison Time
$330,936 Vol.
29%
<5 years
$122,724 Vol.
9%
5-10 years
$72,657 Vol.
5%
10-20 years
$148,773 Vol.
27%
20-30 years
$187,259 Vol.
24%
30+ years
$65,998 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jury deliberations began this week in Harvey Weinstein's third New York retrial on a third-degree rape charge involving actress Jessica Mann—previously resulting in a hung jury—fueling the closely contested trader sentiment on his total prison time. No prison time leads at 29.6%, neck-and-neck with 20-30 years (24.3%) and 10-20 years (23.2%), as bettors parse the #MeToo-era Hollywood mogul's standing 16-year California rape sentence under appeal, an upheld 2025 Manhattan sex assault conviction awaiting sentencing, and his age-74 health struggles, including a chest pain episode halting proceedings yesterday. Key swing factors include the imminent verdict, appellate rulings, and plea possibilities for concurrent terms or time served.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$928,346End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jury deliberations began this week in Harvey Weinstein's third New York retrial on a third-degree rape charge involving actress Jessica Mann—previously resulting in a hung jury—fueling the closely contested trader sentiment on his total prison time. No prison time leads at 29.6%, neck-and-neck with 20-30 years (24.3%) and 10-20 years (23.2%), as bettors parse the #MeToo-era Hollywood mogul's standing 16-year California rape sentence under appeal, an upheld 2025 Manhattan sex assault conviction awaiting sentencing, and his age-74 health struggles, including a chest pain episode halting proceedings yesterday. Key swing factors include the imminent verdict, appellate rulings, and plea possibilities for concurrent terms or time served.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$928,346End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jury deliberations began this week in Harvey Weinstein's third New York retrial on a third-degree rape charge involving actress Jessica Mann—previously resulting in a hung jury—fueling the closely contested trader sentiment on his total prison time. No prison time leads at 29.6%, neck-and-neck with 20-30 years (24.3%) and 10-20 years (23.2%), as bettors parse the #MeToo-era Hollywood mogul's standing 16-year California rape sentence under appeal, an upheld 2025 Manhattan sex assault conviction awaiting sentencing, and his age-74 health struggles, including a chest pain episode halting proceedings yesterday. Key swing factors include the imminent verdict, appellate rulings, and plea possibilities for concurrent terms or time served.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions