Latest forecast models from sources like timeanddate and Weather.com point to a June 28 high near 31–32°C in Beijing, with scattered thunderstorms and light rain expected to moderate peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late June, when the East Asian monsoon onset often brings variable moisture and afternoon convection that caps temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 31–33°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in model timing of any showers versus clearer intervals, plus Beijing’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind patterns and surface conditions. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月28日北京气温最高?
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
33°C 18%
30°C 12.3%
$10,559 交易量
$10,559 交易量
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
33°C 18%
30°C 12.3%
$10,559 交易量
$10,559 交易量
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models from sources like timeanddate and Weather.com point to a June 28 high near 31–32°C in Beijing, with scattered thunderstorms and light rain expected to moderate peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late June, when the East Asian monsoon onset often brings variable moisture and afternoon convection that caps temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 31–33°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in model timing of any showers versus clearer intervals, plus Beijing’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind patterns and surface conditions. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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