Current forecast guidance from global models points to a daily maximum near 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on June 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 32% and 23.5% implied probability. Winter conditions feature a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly flow that restricts daytime heating while enabling overnight radiational cooling. Limited insolation at this latitude, combined with potential patchy cloud cover or slight wind shifts, creates narrow variability around the seasonal average high of 15–16°C early in the month. Model consensus on exact peak temperature remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns, sustaining the close spread across 11–14°C bins. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月28日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
13°C 33%
12°C 24%
14°C 18%
11°C 15%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
15%
12°C
24%
13°C
33%
14°C
18%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
1%
13°C 33%
12°C 24%
14°C 18%
11°C 15%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
15%
12°C
24%
13°C
33%
14°C
18%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 26, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from global models points to a daily maximum near 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on June 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 32% and 23.5% implied probability. Winter conditions feature a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly flow that restricts daytime heating while enabling overnight radiational cooling. Limited insolation at this latitude, combined with potential patchy cloud cover or slight wind shifts, creates narrow variability around the seasonal average high of 15–16°C early in the month. Model consensus on exact peak temperature remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns, sustaining the close spread across 11–14°C bins. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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